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Mystics vs Aces: AI Predictions from Custom WNBA Models

July 4, 2024

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Las Vegas Aces host the Washington Mystics on Independence Day. Will there be fireworks? Learn how AI sports betting is used to make my prediction!

Preview of Aces vs Mystics AI Prediction

These two teams will be playing for the second time in five days. Las Vegas held Washington to just eight fourth-quarter points and pulled away to take the victory 88-77. The Mystics look to even the series in Sin City.

Let's see what my Aces vs Mystics AI prediction says.

Washington Mystics Preview

Washington rolls into Vegas coming off a win in Tinsel Town. Mystics entered the fourth quarter down by 12 but outscored Sparks 30-16 to take down LA.

Washington had a balanced offensive attack with five scoring in double digits. Shatori Walker-Kimbrough came off the bench to pour in a season-high 17 points. Walker-Kimbrough led the charge in the fourth quarter, scoring ten points and knocking down two huge corner threes.  

Washington has turned it around after an injury-plagued 0-12 start. Mystics have gone 5-3 over their last eight games, which included an OT loss to the Sun.

Phoenix Mercury Preview

The Aces welcome the Mystics after defeating the Fever on Monday Night. In front of the largest crowd since 1999 for a WNBA game, Las Vegas downed the Aces 88-69.

Kelsey Plum drained one of her six triples with 4:06 left in the first to put her team ahead. The Aces never surrendered the lead from there.

Plum led Las Vegas with a season-high 34 points while racking up five assists and grabbing six boards. It was quite the bounce-back game for the Olympian. Plum only scored two points while shooting just one for eight against the Mystics in her prior game.

Let's break down my Rithmm AI sports prediction Mystics vs Aces pick for Thursday.

How I Use Rithmm Models for my Aces vs Mystics AI Prediction

I utilize Rithmm AI models as a tool in my handicap. My process starts with looking at the head-to-head to matchup.  

Then I look at trends and I discovered the following:

  • Washington 5-5 straight-up L10
  • Washington 9-1 ATS L10
  • Washinton 7-3 to the over L10
  • Washington scoring 88 points a game L5
  • Washington opponents scoring 78 points L5
  • Las Vegas 6-4 straight-up L10
  • Las Vegas 4-6 ATS L10
  • Las Vegas 5-5 to the over L10
  • Las Vegas scoring 90 points a game L5
  • Las Vegas opponents scoring 88 points a game L5
  • The over has hit the last three games in Vegas between these two teams
  • Both teams are making nine three-pointers a game L5

Let's look at the board, currently, the Aces are favored by 15.5 points. That seems like a lot but Vegas is rolling, covering five in a row. But they are facing the Mysticd who are 9-1 ATS last ten games.

I do not want to mess with the spread. The Aces are capable of beating the Washington Wizards, yes the NBA team, by 16 but their defense worries me. Especially from behind the arc. They have allowed their opponents to hit a staggering 41.3 percent from behind the arc in their last five.

Let's look at the total. As I’m writing a total of 169 is available. These two teams put up a combined 165 points in Washington earlier this week. The total seems reasonable. I’m surprised it is not higher. I think this is an overreaction to Washington only putting up 25 second-half points against Vegas on Saturday.

Now let's look at my custom Rithmm AI models I used for my Mystics vs Aces AI sports prediction.

Using Rithmm Models to Solidify My Aces vs Mystics AI Prediction

Below you will see the models that I used to guide my Mystics vs Aces AI betting prediction.

Mystics vs Aces AI betting prediction

Let's break down this graphic. There are three models, one provided by Rithmm and two I customized. Rithmm users can customize up to a minimum of three models. All three models have the game total at 169 with a bet to the over being the right play. That is signified by the green star. Green means good to go! Now let's check out my model labeled BEST TOTAL.

This season in the W this AI sports model has been my most profitable. It currently sits at a mark of 11-5-1. It has been cooking! This model predicts the total will land at 172  points with a 62.5 percent probability of that occurring. That is three points of value for me! With a high probability of my prediction cashing! Check out Rithmm’s web page on how to utilize Rithmm for AI sports betting!

My Aces vs Mystics prediction

Let's finish this up! I’m going with over 169 points. My model points that way and I agree! Enjoy your Independence Day! Good luck and remember always gamble responsibly.

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