The Pacers took Game 1 of this opening-round playoff series, but the Bucks are looking to bounce back on Tuesday night. Despite Indiana’s fast-paced offense and home-court advantage, the model suggests this Game 2 clash might once again come down to the wire.

Below are our Bucks vs Pacers predictions, including a data-driven score projection, betting trends, updated injury news, and the best odds for this crucial Eastern Conference showdown.

Preview of Bucks vs Pacers Prediction

Indiana held serve in Game 1, but Milwaukee still covered the closing number. That sets up another tight spread for Game 2, with the Pacers currently listed as 4.5-point favorites across most sportsbooks.

Model Score Prediction:
Pacers 116.9, Bucks 111.1

That gives a slight edge to Indiana, but the margin is tight — much like Game 1. Our Bucks vs Pacers picks highlight this as another spot where either side could deliver value depending on how the line moves closer to tip.

Injury Reports for Bucks vs Pacers

Milwaukee Bucks Injuries:

• Damian Lillard (Calf) – Day to Day
• Tyler Smith (Ankle) – Day to Day

Indiana Pacers Injuries:

• Isaiah Jackson (Calf) – Out for Season

The Bucks have the more significant names on the injury list, but the Pacers are down a key piece in their frontcourt rotation. These updates are factored into our Bucks vs Pacers predictions.

Who is Favored to Win Bucks vs Pacers Game 2?

The Pacers are again favored, sitting at -4.5 at nearly every major book. However, both the model and market suggest this line is fair — if not a touch high.

This might be a good opportunity to back Milwaukee again as an underdog, especially if the line creeps toward +5.

Bucks vs Pacers Betting Trends

Against the Spread (Last 5 Games):

• Bucks: 4-1 ATS
• Pacers: 2-3 ATS

Home/Away ATS Splits:

• Bucks Away: 1-1 ATS
• Pacers Home: 1-3 ATS

Dog/Favorite ATS Trends:

• Bucks as Underdog: 3-1 ATS
• Pacers as Favorite: 2-3 ATS

Milwaukee has covered in four of its last five overall and seems to thrive when catching points. Indiana, meanwhile, is just 1-3 ATS at home in its last four. These splits give the Bucks vs Pacers odds some extra tilt toward the road team.

Model Used for Bucks vs Pacers Best Bets

This pick is backed by a pre-built NBA prediction model, which simulates the game using advanced metrics like pace, adjusted offensive/defensive ratings, injury adjustments, and recent form.

📊 Recommended Bet: Pacers -4.5
Win Probability: 53.9% | Odds: -110

Even with the tight score projection, the model slightly leans Indiana due to their offensive depth and pace advantage.

Best Odds for Bucks vs Pacers

To get the best number on either side, make sure you’re line shopping. Here's where to grab Pacers -4.5 at standard juice:

Bucks vs Pacers Best Odds (Pacers -4.5):

• FanDuel: -108
• Bet365: -110
• DraftKings: -110
• MGM: -110
• PointsBet: -115

✅ Tip: Grab the -108 at FanDuel while it’s available.

My Pick for Bucks vs Pacers

Pick: Pacers -4.5 (-108 at FanDuel)

The model leans Pacers, and with Milwaukee still dealing with lingering injuries to Lillard and others, Indiana has a real shot to go up 2-0. Milwaukee may keep it close again, but the Bucks vs Pacers odds offer a solid value play on the home team covering in Game 2.

Explore More Bucks vs Pacers Predictions

Looking for more AI-powered predictions? Check out:

• AI Sports Betting insights for smarter decision-making.
• NBA AI Sports Predictions for advanced game insights.
• Computer NBA Picks for expert computer-driven predictions.
• NBA PrizePicks for AI PrizePick predictions.
• AI NBA Player Props for deeper in-game data

Do you also bet on college basketball? Get your March Madness AI Predictions and check out our March Madness AI Bracket Generator as well!

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