The St. Louis Cardinals visit the Philadelphia Phillies for a Monday evening matchup at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s dive into my Cardinals vs Phillies prediction and where to find the edge in this competitive showdown.

Preview of Cardinals vs Phillies Prediction

The red-hot Cardinals take their five-game win streak to Philadelphia to face a Phillies team that’s 4-1 over their last five themselves. The game is set for 6:45 PM ET on May 12 at Citizens Bank Park and can be viewed through local broadcasters and MLB streaming options. This Cardinals vs Phillies prediction highlights a strong underdog opportunity.

Injury Report for Cardinals vs Phillies

While injuries are light compared to other matchups, they still play a role in the Cardinals vs Phillies picks.

• Cardinals: Only Zachary Thompson is on the 60-day IL with a lat injury.
• Phillies: Bullpen arms Ryan Burr (shoulder) and José Ruiz (neck) are both sidelined.

This slight edge in health favors the Cardinals for today’s Cardinals vs Phillies prediction.

Who is Favored to Win Cardinals vs Phillies?

Despite their hot streak, the Cardinals are underdogs tonight. However, the Rithmm model recommends a moneyline play on the Cardinals at +144 odds with a 48.9% win probability—making this a sharp Short Dog Play.

Cardinals vs Phillies History

Analyzing recent Cardinals vs Phillies trends helps back this underdog play.

• Cardinals are 5-0 in their last five games, including a 4-1 away record.
• Phillies are 4-1 overall, but only 3-2 at home.
• Cardinals are 2-0 as underdogs, while Phillies are 4-1 as favorites.
• Both teams are in top form, but the Cardinals have shown sharper value on the road.

How Many Times Has Cardinals Beat Phillies?

Recent trends suggest both teams are trading wins, but with the Cardinals currently surging, their road success adds upside to this Cardinals vs Phillies pick.

Model Used for My Cardinals vs Phillies Best Bet Prediction

This Cardinals vs Phillies prediction is based on my Pre-Built MLB Model, which evaluates team form, injuries, recent trends, and expected scoring.

The model forecasts a tight game, with projected scores of Phillies 5.0, Cardinals 4.0—but with nearly even win probabilities, value lies in the underdog odds.

What Chance Does Cardinals Have of Beating Phillies?

The Rithmm model assigns a 48.9% chance of winning to the Cardinals, making the +144 line a strong value bet in today's slate of MLB action.

Best Odds for Cardinals vs Phillies

Here’s the current line shopping for the best Cardinals vs Phillies odds:

• Best line is at PointsBet (+150)—this offers the strongest ROI for Cardinals backers.
• Consensus line is +144, with most books clustered between +140 and +148.

Make sure to grab that +150 where available for the best value on this Cardinals vs Phillies pick.

My Pick for Cardinals vs Phillies

With strong form, a clean injury report, and a favorable model probability, my pick for Cardinals vs Phillies is Cardinals moneyline at +150. This is a recommended short dog play, and one of today's best value opportunities.

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