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Sparks vs Storm: AI Predictions - WNBA AI Picks and Best bets

June 11, 2024

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Tonight, the LA Sparks journey to Seattle to take on the Storm in what promises to be an electric game. Read about how I used Rithmm to build a custom sports betting models to arrive at my Sparks vs Storm AI prediction.

Preview of Los Angeles Sparks VS Seattle Storm AI Picks

Tuesday night is the first meeting between Sparks and Storm. The Storm are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a loss to the Lynx on Sunday night. The Sparks have won 2 in a row after beating the Aces in a nail-biter on Sunday.

The Sparks are led by Dearica Hamby who averages 20.4 PPG to go along with 11.5 RPG. However, the Sparks have won just one game on the road all season which makes this matchup even tougher.

They are led by super star Jewell Loyd and Nneka Ogwumike who has made her presence felt on the block. They are 4th in the entire WNBA when it comes to difference, beating teams by an average of 4.1 points.

Let's break down my Sparks vs Storm AI pick for Monday.. 

How I Use Rithmm Models for my Sparks vs Storm AI Prediction

The way I utilize Rithmm for AI WNBA picks is as a tool for my handicap. First, I look at the numbers as stated above. Sparks average 77.9 PPG this season and the Storm have averaged around 81.6 PPG this year. The total for tonight's matchup is currently set at 158.5.

During my research to arrive at my Sparks vs Storm prediction, I discovered the following trends:

  • Over is 5-2 in Sparks last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Over is 5-2 in Sparks last 7 road games.
  • Over is 4-1 in Storm last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Over is 4-1 in Storm last 5 games following a straight up loss.
  • Over is 8-2 in Storm last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Over is 4-1 in Storm last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record

With all the above trends plus how each team generally puts up a lot of points offensively each night, I’m leaning towards the over 158.5.

Now, let's look at my Rithmm AI custom betting models

Below you will see my Rithmm model providing AI predictions for the LA Sparks vs Seattle Storm: 

This model shows the total at 158.5. With Rithmm users can have Rithmm build a model or customize one based on preferences. Let's break down my model. This model is the Rithmm AI model that I built using a multitude of factors including:

  • Offense - This element measures a team's offensive capabilities using metrics like points scored, field goal percentage, and assists.
  • Defense - In this element, the AI uses metrics like steals, blocks, turnovers forced, and points allowed to measure a team's skill on defense or just their defensive rating overall.
  • Three-Pointers - Our 3 pointers element focuses on not just how often but how efficient a team shoots from beyond the arc.
  • Fouls - The model accounts for both personal fouls committed and drawn, which can impact the flow of the game and player availability.
  • Tempo - The tempo aspect is used to determine which teams have the most possessions within the 40 minute game.

With the factors included in my model, the backtest tells me that my model will hit on the total points line 55.4% of the time resulting in a 5.63% ROI. Ultimately, it means that your model is battle tested and can be helpful in finding the best edge for you.

Tonight, I’m going with the over 158.5 points in tonight’s action. The trends point that way and my Rithmm AI model agrees. And remember always gamble responsibly. 

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