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Sparks vs Sky: AI Predictions and WNBA Bet Picks Today

May 30, 2024

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The Los Angeles Sparks take on the Chicago Sky in an exciting WNBA matchup today at 8 pm ET. While the Sparks have been off and on this season, the Sky were off to a strong start to the season before dropping their last two games. In this article, we'll go over three of my models (3 Pts, tempo, and defense) that led to my Sparks vs Sky AI prediction and how to filter through all of the bet options.

Using Rithmm Models for Sparks vs Sky AI Predictions

I was able to make my picks using Rithmm's model feature, which allows users to make informed betting decisions rather than relying purely on intuition. In this case, I created three different models, each using a variety of key metrics. I then went to the "Best Game Picks" section in the app and filtered for today's games and spreads. The Rithmm app provided the highest recommended pick from each model, allowing me to compare their predictions for how the game will finish.

3 Pointers Model

Our 3 pointers model focuses on not just how often but how efficient a team shoots from beyond the arc. In this matchup between the LA Sparks and Chicago Sky, the Sparks are the the best 3 point shooting teams in the league with a percentage of 39.4% from deep while Sky sit in the middle of the pack with a 32.6% 3 point percentage from beyond.

Sparks vs Sky: AI Predictions and WNBA Bet Picks Today

As a result, the 3 pointers model's AI prediction for the Los Angeles Sparks vs Chicago Sky is:

  • Sky -4.0 (vs. Sparks)

Tempo Model

The tempo model is used to determine which teams have the most possessions within the 40 minute game. In tonight's case, the Sky are ranked 5th in PACE which measures the amount of possessions with 98.16 as the Sparks are at the bottom running a much slower offense at 97.40 possessions.

Sparks vs Sky: AI Predictions and WNBA Bet Picks Today

As a result, the tempo model's AI prediction for the Los Angeles Sparks vs Chicago Sky is:

  • Sparks +4.0 (vs. Sky)
Sparks vs Sky: AI Predictions and WNBA Bet Picks Today

Defense Model

Defense wins championships! In this model, the AI uses metrics like steals, blocks, turnovers forced, and points allowed to measure a team's skill on defense or just their defensive rating overall. Tonight, the Sky play a really strong brand of basketball on defense with a defensive rating of 98.5 while the Sparks are right below them with a 101.3 defensive rating.

Sparks vs Sky: AI Predictions and WNBA Bet Picks Today

As a result, the defense model's AI prediction for the Los Angeles Sparks vs Chicago Sky is:

  • Sparks +4.0 (vs. Sky)
Sparks vs Sky: AI Predictions and WNBA Bet Picks Today

My Los Angeles Sparks vs Chicago Sky Prediction

Below is my insight for the Sparks vs Sky game:

  • Los Angeles Sparks: The Sparks, led by Dearica Hamby, has been a key piece for the sparks on offense with her 20 PPG and also playing a massive role in closing out possessions with averaging 12.7 RPG. They have a 2-4 record this year and haven't won a game without out-rebounding their opponents.
  • Chicago Sky: The Sky, are without Kamilla Cardoso again due to her shoulder injury. While they are 2-3 on the season, and they are 3-2 against the spread.

My Pick: Sparks +4.0 (vs. Sky)

Based off my my models, I believe that the Sparks will be able to use their strong defense and ability to control the tempo to cover the spread. Dearica Hamby should have an easy time on the boards as the Sky are without their center.

Los Angeles Sparks vs Chicago Sky AI Prediction

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