The Pittsburgh Pirates face off against the New York Mets tonight in an intriguing matchup at Citi Field. Let’s take a look at my Pirates vs Mets prediction and what bettors should consider before placing a wager on this National League clash.

Preview of Pirates vs Mets Prediction

This Pirates vs Mets game is scheduled for 7:10 PM ET on May 13 at Citi Field in New York. The Mets come in favored, with our model leaning toward a multi-run win. The Pirates vs Mets picks today highlight a strong value on the run line given recent trends and projections.

Injury Report for Pirates vs Mets

Injuries are playing a big role in shaping today’s Pirates vs Mets prediction.

Mets Injury Report:

Pirates Injury Report:

Both teams are dealing with several long-term injuries. However, the Pirates are especially affected in the bullpen, which impacts their ability to close tight games — a key factor in today’s Pirates vs Mets pick.

Who is Favored to Win Pirates vs Mets?

The Rithmm model gives the Mets the edge with a projected 5-3 victory. This aligns with the betting markets that price the Mets as -1.5 favorites on the run line, reflecting their stronger form at home and the Pirates’ injury-depleted pitching.

Pirates vs Mets History

Let’s break down the most recent Pirates vs Mets trends:

• Pirates are 4-1 ATS in their last five, outperforming expectations as underdogs.
• Mets are 3-2 ATS in the same span and 2-2 at home.
• Mets are 3-2 ATS as favorites; Pirates are 4-1 as underdogs.
• Pirates have been reliable on the spread recently, but the Mets’ home-field advantage is notable.

How Many Times Has Pirates Beat Mets?

The recent Pirates vs Mets history doesn’t show a definitive advantage for either side, though the Pirates’ recent ATS success suggests they’ve been competitive. Tonight’s model, however, leans toward a Mets cover.

Model Used For My Pirates vs Mets Best Bet Prediction

The Rithmm MLB model is built using:

• Team offensive/defensive metrics
• Home vs. away splits
• Injury impact adjustments
• Recent form and betting trends

What Chance Does Pirates Have of Beating Mets?

According to the model, the Mets win this game 58.5% of the time when laying -1.5 on the run line. This makes a strong case for considering the spread in your Pirates vs Mets prediction.

Best Odds for Pirates vs Mets

Here are the Pirates vs Mets Best Odds for tonight’s run line:

• Best Value: SugarHouse NJ offers -108 for Mets -1.5
• Most books list the line between -115 and -120, making SugarHouse the standout sportsbook

My Pick for Pirates vs Mets

My Pirates vs Mets pick is Mets -1.5 at -108. With a predicted score of 5-3 and a 58.5% edge, this play offers strong value, especially at the best price available. The Mets’ solid home record and the Pirates’ injury woes align well with this run line recommendation.

Explore More Pirates vs Mets Predictions

Looking for more AI-powered predictions? Check out:

• AI Sports Betting insights for smarter decision-making.
• MLB AI Sports Predictions for advanced game insights.
• Computer MLB Picks for expert computer-driven predictions.
• MLB PrizePicks for AI PrizePick predictions.
• AI MLB Player Props for deeper in-game data

This AI sports betting analysis is just a glimpse of what you can expect when using Rithmm. Whether you’re looking to refine your betting strategy or want to explore in-depth data trends, Rithmm's AI tools for sports betting has all you need. Don't miss out on making more informed decisions—download the Rithmm app today for full access to our AI baseball predictions, MLB Computer Picks, AI Player Props, and custom sports betting models.