The Timberwolves take on the Thunder in a critical playoff showdown on May 28 at 8:30 PM ET at Paycom Center, airing on ESPN. Let’s take a look at my Timberwolves vs Thunder prediction for today.

Preview of Timberwolves vs Thunder Prediction

The Thunder have dominated at home this postseason, going 5-0 in their last five home games. With a 4-1 overall record in the last five, they’ve demonstrated consistency on both ends of the floor. The Timberwolves, though battling inconsistency, managed a 3-2 road record and bring playoff grit into this one. This Timberwolves vs Thunder prediction will focus on whether Minnesota can overcome their underdog status and shake things up in Oklahoma City.

Injury Report for Timberwolves vs Thunder

Both teams are mostly healthy, but Oklahoma City will be without Nikola Topić, who is out for the season with an ACL injury.

Who is Favored to Win Timberwolves vs Thunder?

Despite the Thunder being clear statistical favorites at home, Rithmm's recommendation is a Short Dog Play on the Timberwolves with odds as high as +300 at PointsBet.

Timberwolves vs Thunder History

Here are the Timberwolves vs Thunder trends to consider:

• Thunder are 4-1 overall in their last five.
• Thunder are 5-0 at home during that span.
• Timberwolves are 3-2 away in their last five games.
• Thunder are 4-1 as favorites.
• Timberwolves are 1-3 as underdogs.

How Many Times Has Timberwolves Beat Thunder?

In recent playoff and regular season matchups, Minnesota has had mixed results against Oklahoma City, but they’ve kept games competitive, especially on the road.

Model Used for My Timberwolves vs Thunder Best Bet Prediction

This Timberwolves vs Thunder prediction uses my pre-built NBA model, which evaluates team efficiency, injury adjustments, pace, and historical spread data.

What Chance Does Timberwolves Have of Beating Thunder?

The model gives the Timberwolves a 26.6% win probability, indicating an uphill battle but justifying a potential value spot as a "Short Dog Play" at longer odds.

Best Odds for Timberwolves vs Thunder

Line shopping shows PointsBet offering the best value with Timberwolves moneyline at +300. Other books like FanDuel and Bet365 offer lines closer to +280.

My Pick for Timberwolves vs Thunder

Despite the Thunder’s dominant home court advantage, this Timberwolves vs Thunder pick leans toward the underdog. With +300 odds available, Minnesota offers strong value in a spot where regression could hit Oklahoma City’s perfect home record.

Explore More Timberwolves vs Thunder Best Bets

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