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Mercury vs Lynx: AI Predictions and WNBA Bet Picks Today

May 31, 2024

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The Phoenix Mercury take on the Minnesota Lynx in an exciting WNBA matchup today at 9:30 pm ET. While the Mercury were off to a strong start to the season, they have found themselves dropping their last 3 games. On the other end, the Lynx have started the season with a record of 4-2, losing their last game to the reigning champs, the Las Vegas Aces. In this article, we'll go over three of my models (3 Pts, tempo, and defense) that led to my Mercury vs Lynx AI prediction and how to filter through all of the bet options.

Using Rithmm Models for Mercury vs Lynx AI Predictions

I was able to make my picks using Rithmm's model feature, which allows users to make informed betting decisions rather than relying purely on intuition. In this case, I created three different models, each using a variety of key metrics. I then went to the "Best Game Picks" section in the app and filtered for today's games and spreads. The Rithmm app provided the highest recommended pick from each model, allowing me to compare their predictions for how the game will finish.

3 Pointers Model

Our 3 pointers model focuses on not just how often but how efficient a team shoots from beyond the arc. In this matchup between the Mercury and the Lynx, the Mercury are leading the league in 3 pointers made with 72 but also have shot the most with 31 attempted per game, while the Lynx are also at the top of the league shooting 37.8% from deep.

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As a result, the 3 pointers model's AI prediction for the Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx is:

  • Lynx -6.5 (vs. Mercury)
Mercury vs Lynx: AI Predictions and WNBA Bet Picks Today

Tempo Model

The tempo model is used to determine which teams have the most possessions within the 40 minute game. In tonight's case, the Mercury are ranked 2nd in PACE which measures the amount of possessions with 99.43 as the Lynx are at the bottom running one of the slowest offenses in the league with a 96.19 PACE.

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As a result, the tempo model's AI prediction for the Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx is:

  • Mercury +6.5 (vs. Lynx)
Mercury vs Lynx: AI Predictions and WNBA Bet Picks Today

Defense Model

Defense wins championships! In this model, the AI uses metrics like steals, blocks, turnovers forced, and points allowed to measure a team's skill on defense or just their defensive rating overall. Tonight, the Lynx play a really strong brand of basketball on defense with a defensive rating of 92.5 while the Mercury are sitting at the bottom with a 103.8 defensive rating.

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As a result, the defense model's AI prediction for the Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx is:

  • Lynx -4.0 (vs. Mercury)
Mercury vs Lynx: AI Predictions and WNBA Bet Picks Today

My Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction

Below is my insight for the Mercury vs Lynx game:

  • Phoenix Mercury: The Mercury, led by Kahleah Cooper, has been a key piece for the Mercury on offense with her 24.7 PPG while shooting 38.3% from beyond the arc. They have a 2-1 record this year when she scores over 25 points in a game.
  • Minnesota Lynx: The Lynx on the other hand are led by Napheesa Collier who is averaging 22.2 PPG and over 10 rebounds per game. While they are 4-2 on the season, and they are 5-1 against the spread.

My Pick: Lynx -4.0 (vs. Mercury)

Based off my my models, I believe that the Lynx are one of the most well rounded teams in the league and really lack a specific weakness as they are efficient from the field. If they are able to hold Kahleah Cooper to under 25 points, it should give them a chance to blow the Mercury out of the water early.

Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury AI Prediction

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