NBA

Pacers vs Knicks: Predictions, Odds, & Trends - Game 1

Pacers vs Knicks Predictions, Odds, and Best Bets

May 18, 2025

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The Indiana Pacers take on the New York Knicks in a pivotal matchup at Madison Square Garden. Let’s dive into my Pacers vs Knicks prediction for May 21, including betting odds and model insights.

Preview of Pacers vs Knicks Prediction

Game 1 of this heated series tips off on May 21 at 8:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden, airing live on TNT. The Pacers vs Knicks prediction carries major implications with both teams battling to advance in the NBA Playoffs.

Indiana has built momentum behind a deep offense, while the Knicks look to rely on their defensive grit and home-court advantage. Both squads have traded blows throughout the series, making this one of the most compelling Pacers vs Knicks picks of the postseason.

Injury Report for Pacers vs Knicks

Only one major injury note heading into this matchup. The Pacers will be without big man Isaiah Jackson, who is out for the season with a calf injury. This could impact their frontcourt rotation and rebounding efforts in the paint.

Who is Favored to Win Pacers vs Knicks?

The Knicks are favored according to most sportsbooks, but the line is tight. Our model gives a slight edge to New York, but the best Pacers vs Knicks picks may lie in the spread rather than the moneyline.

Pacers vs Knicks History

Let’s examine the last five Pacers vs Knicks trends from an ATS (Against the Spread) perspective:

  • Pacers Overall ATS: 4-1-0
  • Knicks Overall ATS: 3-2-0
  • Pacers Away ATS: 3-0-0
  • Knicks Home ATS: 2-1-0
  • Pacers as Underdog: 4-1-0
  • Knicks as Favorite: 1-0-0

The Pacers have shown strong ATS performance, particularly on the road, making them a compelling choice for Pacers vs Knicks best bets.

How Many Times Has Pacers Beat Knicks?

In the current playoff series, each team has traded wins. The Game 7 matchup will decide the head-to-head edge. Historically, these teams have split postseason meetings closely, adding drama to this Pacers vs Knicks prediction.

Model Used For My Pacers vs Knicks Best Bet Prediction

I’m using my pre-built NBA model on Rithmm, which factors in pace, adjusted offensive/defensive efficiency, rebounding metrics, and lineup data. This model gives actionable insights for AI NBA picks.

What Chance Does Pacers Have of Beating Knicks?

According to the model prediction:

  • Knicks: 113.2 points
  • Pacers: 109.8 points

Win probability for Pacers +4.5: 53.6%, which edges out implied odds and gives bettors an advantage for this Pacers vs Knicks pick.

Best Odds for Pacers vs Knicks

Line shopping shows the best value for Pacers +4.5 is at William Hill NJ, Bet365 NJ, and SugarHouse NJ, all offering -110 odds. Avoid the DraftKings +4.0 line unless you’re looking for lower risk.

My Pick for Pacers vs Knicks

The Pacers have covered in 4 of their last 5 and are undefeated ATS on the road in this stretch. With strong model backing at +4.5, my pick is Pacers +4.5 as the top Pacers vs Knicks best bet.

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