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Fever vs Storm: AI Predictions from Custom WNBA Models

June 27, 2024

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The Indiana Fever continue their five-game road trip with a stop in Seattle. Read about how I used Rithmm to build a custom sports betting model to arrive at my AI WNBA pick for the Fever vs Storm.

Preview of Fever vs Storm AI Prediction

Seattle hosts Indiana on Thursday night. Storm currently sits four games above five hundred with a record of ten wins and six losses. They look to build on an impressive win on Sunday against the Sun.

Fever comes in after a hard-fought loss in Chicago on Sunday. The loss snapped a season-high four-game winning streak. Indiana currently sits out of the playoffs with a record of seven wins and eleven losses.

This will be the third meeting of these two teams. The Storm have taken both games by the scores of 103-88 and 85-83. They say it's hard to beat a team three times in a year. Will the Storm make it three in a row or will the Fever come out on top? Let's see what my Fever vs Storm AI prediction says.

Indiana Fever Preview

Indiana comes in winning four of five. After some early season struggles, they seem to be gelling. The Fever have drawn much media attention thanks to rookie sensation Caitlin Clark but during this five-game run she has not been the only one filling up the stat sheet.

Over the last five games:

Aliyah Boston 19.2 PPG | 10.4 RPG | 3.0 APG

Caitlin Clark 16.2 PPG | 8.2 APG | 6.8 RPG

Kelsey Mitchell 21.0 PPG | 2.6 RPG | 2.0 APG

NaLyssa Smith 13.8 PPG | 7.0 RPG | 1.6 APG

As a resident Hoosier, it has been fun seeing this team learn how to win. The key to the success has been their great three-point shooting. Over the last five games they are averaging 9.8 makes from beyond the arc while shooting 43.8 percent. That is over eight percent higher than their season average.

The Fever last played in Seattle on May 22. It was an exciting affair with the Fever coming up short 85-83. The Fever held a two-point lead going into the fourth quarter but the Storm went on a 7-0 run to pull away.

Boston had her worst game of the year in the loss. Only scored four points while playing a season-low fifteen minutes. If Indiana is going to come out on top, Boston needs to continue her current hot streak. This plays a key role in my Fever vs Storm AI prediction.

Seattle Storm Preview

The Storm stopped a two-game slide on Sunday with a victory against Connecticut. It was a great defensive effort by Seattle. They held the Sun to 37.3 percent from the field and forced 17 turnovers.

Storm are led by Jewell Loyd. The Olympian is leading the team in scoring at 18.4 points a game. Loyd is one of four on the team averaging double-digit scoring. Nneka Ogwumike (17.7 PPG), Skylar Diggins-Smith (14.8 PPG), and Ezi Magbegor (13.3 PPG) join Loyd.

Seattle has been struggling from beyond the arc in their last five games. They are making 5.8 treys a game on only 28 percent shooting.

Back in May when the Fever visited, Loyd scored a season-high 32 points to lead the Storm. The Storm will need her scoring to keep up with the red hot Fever.

Let's break down my Rithmm Fever vs Storm AI prediction for Thursday.

How I Use Rithmm Models for my Fever vs Storm AI Prediction

I utilize Rithmm AI models as a tool in my handicap. My process starts with looking at the lines. Currently the Fever are plus ten. This seems way too high for a team that is playing their best ball. Plus they are on fire from beyond the arc against a team that is struggling in that area.

Then I look at a statistical break down of this matchup and the current trends. The Fever are 5-0 over their last five ATS (Against the spread). The Storm are 3-2 ATS over their last five but only 1-2 over their last three. Indiana is 7-2 ATS last nine in Seattle.

Let's now talk about the number. Ten is a big number! This number does not make sense to me. Indiana was plus 5 back in May in Seattle. The Fever were 0-4 heading into that game. Now they are rolling and are figuring out how to play as a team.

Now let's look at my custom sports betting models I used for my Fever vs Storm  AI prediction.

Using Rithmm Models to Solidify My Fever vs Storm AI Prediction

Below you will see the models that I used to guide my AI sports betting prediction.

Let's break down this graphic. There are three models, one provided by Rithmm and two I customized. Rithmm users can customize up to a minimum of three models. Two models have the over 162.5  as a probable outcome and one has the under as a probable outcome.

Let's break down this graphic. There are three models, one provided by Rithmm and two I customized. Rithmm users can customize up to a minimum of three models. Two models have the Fever at plus 8.5 as a recommended wager. That is signified by a green star. Green means good. Lets checkout they Rithmm provided model.

The models shows the line at plus 8.5 but as mentioned above, I was able find plus 10. Shopping around pays off. The model says the line should be Indiana plus 5. That is for me five points of value! And on top of it, there is a 62 percent probability that the Fever will lose by five. Check out Rithmm’s web page on how to make your own Fever vs Storm AI predictions.

My Fever vs Storm prediction

Let's finish this up! I’m going with the Fever +10 . That is a lot of points for the Storm to cover and the models agree! Good luck and remember always gamble responsibly.

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