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Bucks vs Rockets: AI Prediction - NBA Picks for Todays Game

November 18, 2024

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Preview of Rockets vs Bucks AI Predictions

With Rithmm’s AI Picks model you are able to dive deep into just about any trend you can think of, below is just a snap shot of what I pulled for todays game. 

Rockets Preview

Houston played in Chicago on Sunday following this game preview. The Rockets entered that game on a four-game winning streak, having swept a two-game series with the Clippers after wins over the Pistons and Wizards. In Friday’s NBA Cup Group Play round, they dominated with a 21-point victory, led by Jabari Smith Jr.’s season-high 28 points on 11-of-17 shooting. Houston shot 48% from the field, including 43% from three-point range, and held Los Angeles to under 40% shooting, leading by as many as 28 points without ever trailing.

Jalen Green leads Houston in scoring with 19.8 points per game, while six other players are averaging at least 11 points per game. Center Alperen Sengun is averaging a double-double (17.3 PPG, 11.4 RPG), and forward Dillon Brooks leads the team in three-point shooting with a 40% rate on 5.4 attempts per game.

The Rockets rank 5th in NET rating, with a balanced 13th in offensive rating and 3rd in defensive rating, according to Dunks and Threes. They are 2nd in offensive rebounding percentage, though they’ve struggled with efficiency (27th in eFG%). Defensively, they’re ranked 3rd in opponent eFG%, allowing the third-lowest rim FG% and the second-lowest mid-range FG% in the league. 

Bucks Preview

Milwaukee narrowly lost to Charlotte on Saturday, as LaMelo Ball scored 19 of his 26 points in the second half to secure the win for the Hornets. Giannis Antetokounmpo recorded his first triple-double of the season with 22 points, 15 rebounds, and 12 assists, but missed the chance to win the game at the buzzer. The Bucks shot 51% from the field, including 15-of-36 (41.7%) from three, but were outrebounded 53-40 and gave up 16 offensive boards. The Hornets also shot ten more free throws than Milwaukee.

Antetokounmpo leads Milwaukee with 32.3 points per game, while four other Bucks average at least nine points. AJ Green and Taurean Prince have been hot from three-point range, with Green shooting 49.1% on 4.8 attempts per game and Prince hitting 55.8% on 4.0 attempts.

Milwaukee ranks 13th in NET rating, sitting at 15th in offensive rating and 11th in defensive rating. They are last in offensive rebounding percentage but are 12th in effective field goal percentage (eFG%). Defensively, they rank 9th in opponent eFG%, excelling at rim protection (2nd-lowest opponent FG% at the rim) but allowing the second-highest opponent three-point percentage (37.9%). 

How I Use Rithmm Models Rockets vs Bucks AI Prediction

Against the Spread (ATS):

  • The Bucks have struggled to cover the spread, with a record of 15-20-0 ATS this season.
  • The Rockets have been more consistent, holding a 19-12-2 ATS record.

Over/Under:

  • Bucks games have hit the over 22 times out of 33 games, indicating a tendency for higher-scoring outcomes.
  • Rockets games have hit the over in only 13 out of 33 games, showing a lower tendency for high-scoring results.

Head-to-Head Matchups:

  • In their last meeting, the Bucks were favored by 7 points, with a total point line set at 237.
  • Historically, the Bucks have the edge over the Rockets, winning 7 of their last 10 matchups.

Scoring Trends:

  • The Bucks are among the league’s top scoring teams, averaging 124.2 points per game.
  • The Rockets, however, have a strong defense, allowing only 105.1 points per game, ranking them among the best in the NBA.

My Rockets vs Bucks AI Prediction

The Milwaukee Bucks are currently banged up with their “big three” all on the injury report for different reasons. Throw in that this team just looks lost right now and cannot really  afford to continue losing games. The Houston Rockets are clicking on all cylinders as they already have 10 wins and have one of the most explosive offenses, as shown by Sunday’s scoring outburst. The Houston defense has also been absolutely dominant throughout the season as well so go with the Houston Rockets getting 3.5 points on the road as the better bet. 

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Selection: Rockets +4

If you’re looking for more Rithmms’ AI Picks you can check them out here.

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