The Boston Celtics face off against the New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden on May 12 at 7:30 PM ET, with the game broadcast live on ABC. Let’s take a look at my Celtics vs Knicks prediction for today and break down the best angles based on trends, odds, and our AI-powered model.
This Celtics vs Knicks prediction features two teams with playoff aspirations and defensive intensity. The Celtics remain one of the league's top title contenders, while the Knicks look to protect their home court and keep momentum in the Eastern Conference. The total line is set at 205.5, suggesting a lower-scoring game—but our model sees a possible edge on the over.
In this Celtics vs Knicks prediction, health plays a minor role. Boston lists only Sam Hauser (ankle) as day-to-day. The Knicks enter the matchup with a clean injury sheet, giving them a full-strength lineup for a key home test.
Only Sam Hauser is listed as day-to-day with an ankle issue.
The Celtics are favored in this Celtics vs Knicks prediction, with our model giving them the edge in projected scoring and win probability. Despite being on the road, Boston’s consistency and depth give them the upper hand.
Let’s look at Celtics vs Knicks trends over the last five games:
Knicks are trending under the total, but Celtics may push pace.
Boston has generally had the edge in recent matchups. While historical series records aren't included here, our model suggests the Celtics are likely to continue their dominance in this Celtics vs Knicks prediction.
For this Celtics vs Knicks pick, I’m using Rithmm’s Pre-Built NBA Model. It evaluates:
Model has Celtics at 107.4 and Knicks at 101.7 total points.
The model gives Boston a 58.4% win probability, supporting a narrow but clear edge. This aligns with the Celtics vs Knicks prediction favoring the road team in a low-possession game that could tilt over if pace increases slightly.
When it comes to Celtics vs Knicks Best Odds, DraftKings offers the best value at Over 204.5 (-106). Consensus lines hover around Over 205.5 (-107), but savvy bettors should grab the lower number for better expected value.
My Celtics vs Knicks pick is Over 204.5 (-106). The model projects a combined 209.1 points. Despite recent under trends, Boston’s offensive potential and New York’s scoring efficiency at home provide solid rationale for taking the over.
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