Start 7-Day Free Trial
WNBA

Wings vs Dream: AI Predictions from Custom WNBA Models

July 5, 2024

Table of Contents

The Atlanta Dream go head-to-head with the Dallas Wings in Dallas at 7:30 PM EST. The match up features two teams with maybe different expectations at this point of the season. One vying for playoff position and the other looking towards the 2025 WNBA draft to see who the number one pick may be. The Dream are square in the middle of the standings, just about where they were last season, but have been scuffling as of late and are hoping to right the ship before it’s too late.

While the Dallas Wings hold the worst record in the league with not much going right for them all season. Let’s take a closer at the Dream vs Wings AI Predictions for what the models say are the best bets of this Monday night battle.

Preview of my Wings vs. Dream AI Prediction

The Dallas Wings (4-16) come into this match up having lost three in a row and 14 of their last 15 games. They are just looking for anything positive to hang their hat on. The Atlanta Wings (7-11), on the other hand, have a little more to be happy about. They currently sit third in the Western Conference but have lost 9 of their last 12 games. They are looking to start a winning streak and gain valuable position for a playoff run.

This is the second match up between these two teams. The first game was back in May and the Dream won 83-78. A lot has changed for these since then but it’s always noteworthy to look at the first head-to-head battles. This data is essential in my Wings vs Dream AI prediction.

Dallas Wings Preview

The Wings season has gone in the opposite direction than they have liked so far in 2024. They own the worst record in the league at 4-16 and have surely started scouting for the 2025 WNBA draft. But that’s not to say that have some real cornerstones on their roster.

Arike Ogunbowale is a real star, averaging 23.8 points per game which is second in the league. She also has a 1.8 win share which is 21st in the league despite her team winning just four games so far. Other than Ogunbowale, Natasha Howard (17.8 ppg) and Maddy Siegrist (14.6 ppg) add to the scoring punch and Teaira McCowan (7.3), Monique Billings (7.8), and Howard (7.5) lead in rebounding.

Team wise, they are sixth in scoring per game (80.6), fifth in field goal percentage (43.8 percent), ninth in three-point percentage 30.8 percent, and last in turnovers.

They also are also the third slowest team in PACE, worst in defensive rating and eighth in offensive rating. All of this contributes to a last place standing and just four wins on the season.

The wings are 7-13 against the spread and have gone over 12 times compared to 7 unders and 1 tie.

Atlanta Dream Preview

The Atlanta Dream aren’t the offensive powerhouse that we’ve seen sweep the WNBA recently. They only have three players with double digit scoring in Allisha Gray (15.8 ppg), Rhyne Howard (15.4 ppg), and long-time veteran Tina Charles (14.2 ppg).

The Dream are last in field goal percentage (40.4 percent), total points per game (76.0), and assists (18.8 per game), and eighth in three-point percentage (31.9 percent).

Diving into the advanced stats tell a similar story. The Dream are last in offensive rating and second to last in PACE. They do pick it up in the defensive rating statistic and come into this game in seventh.

The Dream are looking to bank as many games as they can to position themselves for a playoff run.

They are 7-11 on the season and they are 7-11 against the spread. They have gone over 9 times and under 9 times on the season.

This insight plays a key role in my Wings vs Dream AI prediction.

How I Use Rithmm Models for Wings vs Dream AI Prediction

With both these teams on the bottom half of the standings, the O/U is where my initial inclination lies. I quite honestly don’t trust either one of these teams with points and don’t have strong enough data to feel comfortable choosing one over the other.

With little scoring punch and offensive prowess, I am leaning towards the under of 166.

With my initial thoughts and research done, let’s turn to the Rithmm app and see if the models that have been created confirm my theories for my WNBA AI prediction.

Let's take a look at the Rithmm AI custom betting models that I personally created with the Rithmm app.  

The first model, “Rithmm AI”, which looks at all categories equally but leaving tempo out, have the Dream vs Wings AI prediction as an over/under of 167.5. This is a full 1.5 points OVER than the given spread. This goes opposite of my first thought.

Dream vs Wings AI prediction

The “All Offensive” model that I had customized that puts a ton of weight on all offensive categories, have the Dream vs Wings AI prediction as an over/under of 162.2. This is also almost a four point swing from the given spread. Having this model show this as the spread makes me more comfortable in my initial thoughts.  

Dream vs Wings - All Offensive

Lastly, the “Defensive/Tempo” model that I customized featuring tempo, three pointers , and defense, have the Dream vs Wings AI prediction as an over/under of 163.7. This also bodes well for my initial thoughts and is a recommended bet from the Rithmm app.

Dream vs Wings - Defense/Tempo

My Dream vs Wings AI Prediction

With my own research and with two of the three models showcasing an edge on the under I am sticking with my initial inclination. I’m taking the UNDER at 166 of the Dream vs Wings match up.

Conclusions on My Dream vs Wings AI Predictions

Have you tried the Rithmm AI sports betting app? Create an account and access hundreds of picks, custom models, and more. Sign up here.

Click here to return to the complete list of our daily AI sports betting prediction.

More AI Sports Predictions

Ready to dominate with data-backed predictions?

Download Rithmm now and join the community of smart bettors. Access free AI sports predictions, AI player props, explore our subscription tiers, and unlock the full potential of Rithmm.

Download Now

Exclusive Offers

Special Offer

Bet $5 Get $150

Special Offer

Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets Instantly!
See All Offers

Ready to dominate with data-backed predictions?

SCAN TO DOWNLOAD THE APP