The defending champion Las Vegas Aces host the Washington Mystics in a WNBA showdown on May 23. Both teams are dealing with injuries, but Vegas is still projected to dominate. Let’s dive into my Mystics vs Aces prediction and uncover where the betting value lies tonight.

Preview of Mystics vs Aces Prediction

Tip-off is set for 10:00 PM ET on May 23 at Michelob ULTRA Arena, and the game airs live on ION. The Aces enter the contest as heavy favorites, looking to assert dominance over a Mystics team struggling with early-season injuries. My Mystics vs Aces prediction highlights a large spread that still offers value based on Rithmm’s model.

Injury Report for Mystics vs Aces

Injuries are a factor for both teams in this matchup.

Mystics Injury Report:

• Aaliyah Edwards – Out (Back)
• Georgia Amoore – Out for Season (ACL)

Aces Injury Report:

• Cheyenne Parker-Tyus – Out (Personal)
• Megan Gustafson – Out (Leg)

While both rosters are missing key depth, the Aces have better balance across their starting five.

Who is Favored to Win Mystics vs Aces?

The Mystics vs Aces picks heavily favor Vegas, with Rithmm’s model giving the Aces a 65.1% chance to cover the -15.5 spread at -111 odds. The best available spread sits at -14.5 (-110) on FanDuel and Bet365, providing strong value for bettors.

Mystics vs Aces History

Here's what the Mystics vs Aces trends tell us over their last five games:

• Mystics are 2-1 ATS overall and 1-1 ATS on the road
• Aces are 1-1 ATS overall, no home data yet
• Mystics are 1-0 ATS as underdogs
• Aces are 1-0 ATS as favorites

The Mystics vs Aces trends show Washington has stayed competitive despite injuries, but Vegas has the advantage when expected to win.

How Many Times Has Aces Beat Mystics?

The Rithmm model projects a convincing win for the Aces with a final score of 95.6 to 75.8. That 20-point margin supports a confident Mystics vs Aces prediction backing the home team to cover.

Model Used For My Mystics vs Aces Best Bet Prediction

This pick is generated by Rithmm’s Pre-Built WNBA Model, which factors in:

• Injury status and team depth
• ATS records
• Efficiency ratings
• Game location

With a 19.8-point projected win, Vegas comfortably clears the spread.

What Chance Does Aces Have of Beating Mystics?

Vegas has a 65.1% win probability to cover the spread, making this one of the top AI-recommended sides of the night in the Mystics vs Aces prediction.

Best Odds for Mystics vs Aces

Best value for Aces -14.5 is currently available at:

• FanDuel & Bet365: -14.5 (-110)
• Other books list it at -15.5 or -16 with varied juice

To get the most from your Mystics vs Aces pick, grab the -14.5 line before it moves.

My Pick for Mystics vs Aces

My Mystics vs Aces pick is Aces -14.5 (-110). Despite a high spread, the model projects a 20-point blowout, and Washington’s injuries reduce their scoring ceiling.

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