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Texans vs Chiefs: Predictions, Picks, and Best Bets - NFL

Texans vs Chiefs Predictions and Best Bets

January 14, 2025

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With AI sports betting, dive deep into trends, performance analysis, and betting insights for my Texans vs Chiefs prediction. Let's have a look at the app I use for my NFL predictions that includes trends, player props, AI generated predictions and best odds all curated from the Rithmm App. At the end of this post, you'll see how Rithmm's AI-driven models can help you make a more informed decision when placing your weekly bets.

How to Watch Texans vs Chiefs NFL Game

  • Date: Saturday January 18
  • Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • Location: Geha Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
  • Surface: Natural Grass
  • How to Watch: ABC

Preview and Analysis for Texans vs Chiefs AI Prediction

Let's preview these two teams before I show you how I used the Rithmm App to create custom sports betting models to get my Texans vs Chiefs best bet.

Texans Preview

The Texans head to Kansas City after dismantling the Chargers last weekend with a 32-12 victory. Houston’s defense shined, racking up four interceptions, including a game-defining pick-six by Eric Murray. Quarterback C.J. Stroud added to the effort, throwing for 282 yards and a touchdown while rushing for an additional 42 yards.

Wide receiver Nico Collins led the offense with 122 receiving yards and a touchdown, and Joe Mixon added 106 rushing yards with a touchdown. The Texans’ 6th-ranked defense continues to be their backbone, allowing just 261 yards per game in the playoffs.

Key Stats:

  • Season Record: 11-7
  • ESPN NFL Power Index: 16th
  • Strength: Top 10 Defense

Chiefs Preview

The Chiefs enter this game as the AFC’s top seed with a 15-2 regular season record. They come in rested and healthy after a first-round bye. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes, with his 6-0 record in Divisional Rounds, looks to continue his postseason dominance.

Mahomes threw for 3,928 yards and 26 touchdowns in the regular season, though his career-high 36 sacks may raise concerns. Travis Kelce remains Mahomes’ go-to target, alongside emerging receiver Xavier Worthy. On the ground, Kareem Hunt led with 728 rushing yards and seven touchdowns.

Key Stats:

  • Season Record: 15-2
  • ESPN NFL Power Index: 6th
  • Strength: Top-tier Offense

Texans vs Chiefs History and Trends

Last 5 Matchups: The Chiefs lead 3-2

Against the Spread (ATS):

  • Texans: 12-6 ATS this season
  • Chiefs: 8-9 ATS this season

Trends:

  • Chiefs have only covered the spread in 1 of their last 5 home games
  • Texans defense is allowing 21.8 PPG on the season

How I Used Rithmm Models for Texans vs Chiefs Picks

The line for this game opened with the Chiefs favored by -7.5 but has climbed to -9 at some sportsbooks. This movement raised questions, prompting me to use the Rithmm App for deeper analysis.

Rithmm Insights:

  • Projected Spread: Chiefs -7.2
  • Win Probability: Texans cover +8.0 at 62.3%
  • Key Matchup: Texans’ defense vs Mahomes’ passing game

Analysis: The Chiefs have struggled to cover large spreads this season, especially at home. The Texans’ strong defense gives them a chance to keep this game within a touchdown. My AI model sees value in betting on Houston +8.0, given the Chiefs’ recent struggles ATS.

Explore More Predictions Like Texans vs Chiefs

This AI-driven analysis is just a glimpse of what you can expect when using Rithmm. Whether you’re looking to refine your betting strategy or want to explore in-depth data trends, Rithmm's AI tools for sports betting has all you need. Don't miss out on making more informed decisions—download the Rithmm app today for full access to our, AI Sports Picks, AI NFL predictions, NFL Computer Picks, and custom sports betting models.

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