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Sun vs Sky: AI Predictions - WNBA AI Picks and Best bets

June 12, 2024

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Tonight, the Connecticut Sun head out to Chicago to take on the Sky in what promises to be a big time matchup. Read about how I used Rithmm to build a custom sports betting models to arrive at my Sun vs Sky AI prediction.

Preview of Connecticut Sun VS Chicago Sky AI Picks

Tonight is the second meeting between Sun and Sky. The Sun ending up just beating the Sky 86-82 in a close game back in May. The Sun are 10-1 on the season after losing their first game on Saturday to the Liberty. The Sky have had a tough start to the season as they are now 4-6 after dropping 3 of their last 4.

The Sun are led by DeWanna Bonner who averages 18.6 PPG to go along with 5.6 RPG. The Sun have yet to lose on the road this season which makes it an even tougher matchup for the Chicago Sky.

The Sky are led by Marina Mabrey and rookie Angel Reese, who has made her presence felt on the block. They are 6th in the entire WNBA when it comes to opponents PPG, proving they tend to play tough defense.

Let's break down my Sun vs Sky AI pick for Monday.

How I Use Rithmm Models for my Sun vs Sky AI Prediction

The way I utilize Rithmm for AI WNBA picks is as a tool for my handicap. First, I look at the numbers as stated above. Sun average 80.5 PPG this season and the Storm have averaged around 78.9 PPG this year. The moneyline for tonight's game is set at Sun -312.

During my research to arrive at my Sun vs Sky prediction, I discovered the following trends:

  • Sun are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games.
  • Sun are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Sun are 25-12-1 ATS in their last 38 road games.
  • Sun are 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Sun are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • Sky are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
  • Sky are 6-14-2 ATS in their last 22 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Sky are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
  • Sun are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.
  • Sun are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

With all the above trends plus how dominant and consistent the Sun have been all season long, I'm leaning towards the Suns moneyline.

Now, let's look at my Rithmm AI custom betting models

Below you will see my Rithmm model providing AI predictions for the Connecticut Sun vs Chicago Sky: 

Sun vs Sky: AI Predictions - WNBA AI Picks and Best bets

This model shows the Sun are projected to win 79-72. With Rithmm users can have Rithmm build a model or customize one based on preferences. Let's break down my model. This model is the Rithmm AI model that I built using a multitude of factors including:

  • Offense - This element measures a team's offensive capabilities using metrics like points scored, field goal percentage, and assists.
  • Defense - In this element, the AI uses metrics like steals, blocks, turnovers forced, and points allowed to measure a team's skill on defense or just their defensive rating overall.
  • Three-Pointers - Our 3 pointers element focuses on not just how often but how efficient a team shoots from beyond the arc.
  • Fouls - The model accounts for both personal fouls committed and drawn, which can impact the flow of the game and player availability.
  • Tempo - The tempo aspect is used to determine which teams have the most possessions within the 40 minute game.
Sun vs Sky: AI Predictions - WNBA AI Picks and Best bets

With the factors included in my model, the backtest tells me that my model will hit on the total points line 49.5% of the time resulting in a 6.63% ROI. Ultimately, it means that your model is battle tested and can be helpful in finding the best edge for you.

Tonight, I’m going with the Sun moneyline (-312) in tonight’s action. The trends point that way and my Rithmm AI model agrees. And remember always gamble responsibly. 

Make your own picks with your free Rithmm trial

If you like what you have read and want to give Rithmm a try, click to get started or download the App. 

👉 We've got a 7-day free trial going for you to explore all the app features (and perhaps make enough money winning bets to cover months of subscription!)

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