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Sky vs Mystics: AI Predictions from Custom WNBA Models

June 14, 2024

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Tonight, the Chicago Sky head out to Washington to take on the Mystics in what promises to be a big time matchup. Read about how I used Rithmm to build a custom sports betting models to arrive at my Sky vs Mystics AI prediction.

Preview of Chicago Sky vs Washington Mystics AI Prediction

Tonight is the second meeting between Sky and Mystics. The Sky ending up just beating the Mystics 79-71 in a close game last week. The Mystics are just 1-12 on the season after winning their first game on Tuesday against the Dream. The Sky have had a tough start to the season as they are now 4-7 after dropping 4 of their last 5.

The Sky are led by Marina Mabrey and rookie Angel Reese, who has made her presence felt on the block. They are 6th in the entire WNBA when it comes to opponents PPG, proving they tend to play tough defense.

The Mystics on the other hand have yet to get a win this year despite the strong play from Ariel Atkins. The Mystics are hoping to pull off their second win of the season tonight.

Let's break down my Sky vs Mystics AI prediction for tonight.

How I Use Rithmm Models for my Sky vs Mystics AI Prediction

The way I utilize Rithmm for AI WNBA picks is as a tool for my handicap. First, I look at the numbers as stated above. Sky average 78.5 PPG this season and the Mystics have averaged around 75.6 PPG this year. The spread for tonight's game is set at Sky -2.5.

During my research to arrive at my Sky vs Mystics AI prediction, I discovered the following trends:

  • Sky are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
  • Sky are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Sky are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Sky are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Mystics are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
  • Mystics are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win.
  • Sky are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Washington.
  • Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Washington.
  • Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

With all the above trends plus how much the Mystics have truly struggled all season long, I'm leaning towards the Sky -2.5 for my AI Pick.

Now, let's look at my Rithmm AI custom betting models

Below you will see my Rithmm model providing AI predictions for the Chicago Sky vs Washington Mystics: 

Sky vs Mystics: AI Predictions from Custom WNBA Models

This model shows the Sky are projected to win by over 6 points. With Rithmm, users can have Rithmm build a model or customize one based on preferences. Let's break down my model for my AI pick. This model is the Rithmm AI model that I built using a multitude of factors including:

  • Offense - This element measures a team's offensive capabilities using metrics like points scored, field goal percentage, and assists.
  • Defense - In this element, the AI uses metrics like steals, blocks, turnovers forced, and points allowed to measure a team's skill on defense or just their defensive rating overall.
  • Three-Pointers - Our 3 pointers element focuses on not just how often but how efficient a team shoots from beyond the arc.
  • Fouls - The model accounts for both personal fouls committed and drawn, which can impact the flow of the game and player availability.
  • Tempo - The tempo aspect is used to determine which teams have the most possessions within the 40 minute game.
Sun vs Sky: AI Predictions - WNBA AI Picks and Best bets

With the factors included in my model, the backtest tells me that my model will hit on the total points line 48.0% of the time. Ultimately, it means that your model is battle tested and can be helpful in finding the best edge for you.

Tonight, I’m going with the Sky -2.5 (vs Mystics) in tonight’s action. The trends point that way and my Rithmm model agrees with my AI pick. And remember always gamble responsibly. 

Make your own picks with your free Rithmm trial

If you like what you have read and want to give Rithmm a try, click to get started or download the App. 

👉 We've got a 7-day free trial going for you to explore all the app features (and perhaps make enough money winning bets to cover months of subscription!)

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