The Seattle Storm travel to face the Phoenix Mercury on May 17 at 10:00 PM ET at PHX Arena. Let’s take a look at my Storm vs Mercury prediction for tonight’s matchup, including Storm vs Mercury picks and the Storm vs Mercury best bets based on recent data and trends.

Preview of Storm vs Mercury Prediction

As we dive into the Storm vs Mercury prediction, both teams enter this game with identical 2-3 ATS records over their last five matchups. This game will be aired on AZFamily and held in Phoenix, where the Mercury are still searching for their first home ATS win. Seattle will aim to capitalize on their solid road performance, making the Storm vs Mercury pick more intriguing.

Injury Report for Storm vs Mercury

Injuries could influence tonight’s Storm vs Mercury picks, especially for Seattle.

Storm Injury Report:

• Katie Lou Samuelson – Out For Season (Knee)
• Nika Mühl – Out For Season (Knee)

With two key players out for the year, the Storm's depth will be tested, impacting the Storm vs Mercury prediction and how bettors should approach this matchup.

Who is Favored to Win Storm vs Mercury?

Despite being the road team, the Rithmm model actually leans in favor of Seattle. The Storm vs Mercury prediction from my AI model gives Seattle an 86.0 to 83.1 scoring edge, a small but significant margin, especially when combined with the spread value.

Storm vs Mercury History

Let’s look at the latest Storm vs Mercury trends to see how recent betting patterns stack up:

• Storm ATS Record: 2-3 overall | 2-1 away | 1-2 as underdogs
• Mercury ATS Record: 2-3 overall | 0-1 at home | 2-0 as favorites

These Storm vs Mercury trends show that Seattle is more reliable on the road than Phoenix is at home, which adds weight to tonight’s Storm vs Mercury pick.

How Many Times Has Seattle Beat Phoenix?

While all-time head-to-head stats aren't the focus here, the Storm vs Mercury prediction tonight hinges more on recent form, injuries, and line value than past matchups.

Model Used For My Storm vs Mercury Best Bet Prediction

This Storm vs Mercury prediction is based on my Pre-Built WNBA Model, which considers a wide range of inputs including offensive/defensive efficiency, player availability, recent ATS performance, and home/away splits.

What Chance Does Seattle Have of Beating Phoenix?

According to the model, the Storm have a 66.6% chance to cover the +2.0 spread, giving them a strong advantage in today’s Storm vs Mercury best bets.

Best Odds for Storm vs Mercury

Here’s a look at the best odds available for tonight’s game:

• FanDuel: Storm +2.5 (-110) – Best value available
• PointsBet: +2.5 (-120)
• MGM: +2.5 (-115)
• Other sportsbooks list Seattle at +2.0 with higher juice

For anyone locking in a Storm vs Mercury pick, FanDuel currently offers the best odds.

My Pick for Storm vs Mercury

My Storm vs Mercury prediction is to take Storm +2.0 (-115). The model strongly favors Seattle to outperform the spread, with a recommended win probability of 66.6%. This is one of the stronger Storm vs Mercury best bets of the night.

Explore More Predictions Like Storm vs Mercury

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This Storm vs Mercury prediction is just one example of what Rithmm can do. Whether you’re a casual bettor or a data-driven strategist, Rithmm’s AI Sports Betting Tool has the power to give you an edge. Download the app and explore more WNBA computer picks, model-driven best bets, and personalized betting models today.