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Lynx vs Sparks: AI Predictions from Custom WNBA Models

July 9, 2024

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Tonight, the Minnesota Lynx (15-6, 10-3 Western Conference) travel to Los Angeles to take on the Sparks (5-16, 3-8 Western Conference) at Crypto.Com Arena. This game will be played at 7:00 PM PT. The line for this matchup is Lynx -4.5 with a total coming in at 157.5.

Let’s take a look at my Minnesota Lynx vs Los Angeles Sparks AI prediction for Friday night.

Preview of my Lynx vs Sparks AI Prediction

In their last 10 matchups, the Lynx are (7-3) averaging 78.4 points per game. Their opponents are averaging 73.2 points per game. The team is led in scoring by forward Napheesa Collier who chips in an average of 20.0 points per game. The Lynx are first in the Western Conference with a 1 game lead over the Seattle Storm.

In their last 10 matchups, the Sparks are (1-9) averaging 80.1 points per game. Their opponents are averaging 88.4 points per game. The team is led in scoring by forward Dearica Hamby who chips in an average of 19.1 points per game. The Sparks are second to last in the Western Conference and are 10 games back of first place.

These two teams have already battled twice this season with the Lynx winning both games so this will be an interesting test.

Minnesota Lynx Preview

The Minnesota Lynx come into this matchup in first place in the Western Conference. They’re one of the best teams in the WNBA and have had a very strong start to the season. The team is clicking on all cylinders and are (9-1) in their last 10 versus Los Angeles. The Lynx are coming off a 74-67 home victory against the Washington Mystics last Saturday.

The Lynx have been incredible on the defensive side of the ball as they allow their opponent to score an average of 73.2 points per game. They will need to keep this up if they’d like to improve their road record of (5-4).

The Lynx are (8-3) against the spread in their last 11 road games and are (11-5) against the spread in their last 16 versus Western Conference. The under is (4-0) in the Lynx last 4 overall and the under is (5-2) in the Lynx last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.

This plays a key role in my Lynx vs Sparks AI prediction.

Los Angeles Sparks Preview

The Los Angeles Sparks have been absolutely terrible this season and really need to figure things out as the season continues. They’re (1-9) in their last 10 versus the Lynx. The Sparks are coming off a 78-84 loss to the Phoenix Mercury last Sunday in which Dearica Hamby put up 25 points in 36 minutes.

The defense has been the weakest portion of the Sparks team this season as they are 10th defensively giving up 88.4 points per game. This team has a lot of young talent but needs to put all the pieces together if they’d like to pick up a victory in their building tonight.

The Sparks are (5-0) against the spread in their last 5 against a team with a winning straight up record but are (4-11-1) against the spread in their last 16 Tuesday games. The under is (6-1) in the Sparks last 7 when coming of an against the spread loss.

How I Use Rithmm Models for Lynx vs Sparks AI Prediction

They’re two bets I recommended for this game. One is the side and one is the total. Rithmm gives a strong edge on both these bets. First, let’s talk about the side. The spread in this game is Lynx -4.5 and Rithmm is predicting the Lynx to cover this spread pretty easily.

Rithmm is predicting the Lynx to win by 7.7 points giving us (the user) a 3.2 point differential in our advantage. If the spread is Lynx -4.5 and the Rithmm app is predicting the Lynx to win by 7.7 points, how do you not go with the Lynx minus the points? Also, Rithmm gives this play a 69.0% win probability.

Let me show you what I’m talking about:

Lynx vs Sparks Rithmm AI Prediction Spread

Now we can talk about the total. Again, we have a pretty solid Rithmm edge. The total came in at this game at 157.5. Rithmm is predicting the total to go over. In fact, Rithmm is predicting the final score to land at 162.9. This gives us a 4.4 point differential between what the total is set at and what Rithmm is predicting.

We know the total is set at 157.5 and Rithmm is predicting the total to land at 162.9. Knowing this information, the clear play is to take the over. Not only do we have a pretty solid edge, but according to Rithmm, this bet has a 57.5% win probability.

Let me show you what I’m talking about:

Lynx vs Sparks Rithmm AI Prediction Total

Read more about AI WNBA picks here and check out our AI sports picks here.

My Lynx vs Sparks AI Prediction

Using my Rithmm models, the clear play in Lynx -4.5 and over 157.5. Both these plays have solid edges and both have a high win probability. When using the Rithmm model, I can see that it predicts the Lynx to win by 7.7 points and the total to land at 162.9.

Knowing this information and also knowing the pregame lines, it’s easy to make a pick on this matchup. Rithmm leaves the user with an experience where they don’t have to rely on their gut but rather rely on AI backed picks.

This makes sports gambling more consistent and easier.

Make your own picks with your free Rithmm trial

Using my Rithmm model, the clear cut pick in this matchup is Lynx -4.5 and the total soaring over 157.5. Rithmm gives you AI data driven backed picks rather than relying on your gut instinct so you have a better chance of winning this way.

Looking for a new way to bet on sports? Sick and tired of giving away money rather than collecting? Well Rithmm is the solution for you.

Subscribe today to a 7-day free trial with Rithmm. Rithmm provides you with sports betting AI data driven backed picks so you don’t have to rely on your gut anymore or something you heard from an average Joe at the bar. Best of luck everybody!

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