NBA

Cavaliers vs Pacers: Predictions, Odds, & Best Bets - Game 4

Cavaliers vs Pacers Predictions, Odds, & Best Bets

May 12, 2025

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It’s a big Eastern Conference clash tonight as the Indiana Pacers face off against the Cleveland Cavaliers. Let’s take a look at my Pacers vs Cavaliers prediction for today, featuring expert analysis, model-backed Pacers vs Cavaliers picks, and the best value betting lines.

Preview of Pacers vs Cavaliers Prediction

The Pacers and Cavaliers meet tonight at 7:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena, with the game airing nationally on TNT. Both teams are in strong recent form, going 4-1 in their last five games. The Pacers come in hot on the road, while the Cavaliers have handled business at home. My Pacers vs Cavaliers prediction factors in recent trends and expected lineups to identify the sharpest play.

Injury Report for Pacers vs Cavaliers

Injuries could play a key role in tonight’s Pacers vs Cavaliers prediction. Here's what you need to know:

  • Pacers: Isaiah Jackson is out for the season with a calf injury.
  • Cavaliers: De’Andre Hunter (thumb), Darius Garland (toe), and Evan Mobley (ankle) are all listed day-to-day.

These injury updates are crucial for framing Pacers vs Cavaliers picks and identifying where value lies.

Who is Favored to Win Pacers vs Cavaliers?

Despite the Pacers being labeled a "Long Dog Play," our model highlights this matchup as a sneaky opportunity. Cleveland is favored, but Indiana is carrying value with +318 odds and a 25.3% win probability according to the Rithmm model. That underdog edge makes this Pacers vs Cavaliers pick more appealing.

Pacers vs Cavaliers History

The most recent Pacers vs Cavaliers trends offer deeper context into this rivalry:

  • Overall Last 5: Both teams are 4-1
  • Pacers Road Record: 4-1
  • Cavs Home Record: 3-2
  • Pacers as Dogs: 2-1
  • Cavs as Favorites: 4-1

How many times has Pacers beat Cavaliers?

While historical head-to-head numbers aren't shown here, Indiana has had moderate success in recent years against Cleveland, especially when entering as underdogs. Tonight’s Pacers vs Cavaliers pick aims to exploit that pattern.

Model Used For My Pacers vs Cavaliers Best Bet Prediction

This Pacers vs Cavaliers prediction comes from my custom pre-built NBA model, which integrates:

  • Offensive and defensive efficiency
  • Recent pace of play
  • Home/away performance trends
  • Injury impact

According to the model:

  • Pacers: 109.8 projected points
  • Cavaliers: 118.8 projected points

What chance does Pacers have of beating Cavaliers?

Our model gives Indiana a 25.3% chance to win outright. While that’s low, the +318 moneyline makes the Pacers vs Cavaliers best bet recommendation a calculated longshot based on value.

Best Odds for Pacers vs Cavaliers

Looking for the best Pacers vs Cavaliers odds? Here's where to find max value:

  • Best line: PointsBet offering +330
  • Consensus line: +318
  • Other competitive books include Bet365 (+325) and FanDuel (+315)

Always line shop when placing your Pacers vs Cavaliers picks.

My Pick for Pacers vs Cavaliers

Based on my model and the available odds, I’m recommending a moneyline play on the Pacers at +330. While Cleveland is the favorite, Indiana’s recent road form and underdog value support this Pacers vs Cavaliers prediction as a smart dart throw.

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This AI sports betting analysis is just a glimpse of what you can expect when using Rithmm. Whether you’re refining your betting strategy or exploring data-driven trends, Rithmm’s AI tools for sports betting have you covered. Download the Rithmm app today to access full NBA picks, custom models, and more.

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