Bowling Green vs Central Michigan: AI Predictions - College Football

The Green Falcons fly into Mount Pleasant to take on rival Central Michigan today in a MAC Conference matchup.

Let's see how I used the Rithmm App to create custom sports betting models to get my AI prediction for the Louisiana vs Texas State.

Preview of Bowling Green vs Central Michigan AI Prediction

• Date: Tuesday November 5th
• Time: 7:30 PM ET
• Location: Kelly/Shorts Stadium, Mount Pleasant, MI
• Surface: AstroTurf GameDay Grass
• How to Watch: ESPN2

Bowling Green Preview

The Green Falcons look to continue their 2-game winning streak against the Chippewas on Tuesday night. Bowling Green is 4 - 4 on the season and 3 - 1 in conference and currently sit in 3rd place in the MAC Standings.

The Falcons are coming off of a 41 - 26 win over Toledo 10 days ago where they saw quarterback Connor Bazelak throw for 171 yards on 17 of 27 passing with two touchdowns, no interceptions and two sacks. Bazelak has 10 touchdowns on the season against four interceptions and has thrown for 1815 yards.

Running back Terion Stewart ran for 99 yards on 21 carries and one touchdown and has 557 yards on 106 carries with five touchdowns on the season and is averaging 5.3 yards per carry.

Bowling Green is not ranked in the AP Top 25 and is ranked 85th in the ESPN College Football Power Index for 2024.

Central Michigan Preview

The Chippewas enter tonight's game on a three game losing streak and sitting at 10th in the MAC conference with a 3 - 5 overall record and 1 -3 in conference games.

In their last game the Chippewas lost 46 - 7 in a rout to Miami OH. In a loss that looked worse than the score, Central Michigan only had 106 yards total rushing, 62 yards passing and only 12 first downs the entire game while only having one snap in Miami territory in the 2nd half which they lost on a holding call.

Freshman quarterback Tyler Jefferson, who replaced junior quarterback Joe Labas in week 7 due to injury, was 7 for 17 last week for 62 yards passing and one interception. He also carried the ball eight times for 37 yards.

Marion Lukes is their leading rusher with 465 yards on 94 carries (4.9 yards per carry) and four touchdowns on the season.

Central Michigan is not ranked in the AP Top 25 and are ranked 120th in the ESPN College Football Power Index for 2024.

How I use Models for Bowling Green vs Central Michigan AI Prediction

I'm under no illusion that this game is going to be one for the ages. Bowling Green is the better team on paper and on the field and even in a year where some odd upsets have happened, I don't expect that tonight.

But the thing I do find quite interesting is that the Falcons have not been particularly good at covering the spread these last five games. The line currently has Bowling Green laying -14 with a slight money edge of 53% on the bet splits.

That's not a huge split for that line being so wide, and when you look at my Rithmm model above, you can see that they are predicting a +12.7 spread and a 61% win probability for the Chippewas to cover.

There are times when I have to go out on a limb and I believe this is one of them. I'm trusting the models and going with Central Michigan to cover +13.5.

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