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Aces vs Sparks: AI Predictions from Custom WNBA Models

July 5, 2024

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The Las Vegas Aces (12-6) travel to Los Angeles Friday night to take on the Los Angeles Sparks (4-15) at 7 PM PT. This game will be played at Crypto.Com Arena and will air on ION.

The Aces played late Thursday night against the Mystics, cashing in as home favorites. The spread in this game is Aces (-13) with an over/under coming in at (173.0)

Let’s take a look at my Las Vegas Aces vs Los Angeles Sparks AI prediction for Friday night.

Preview of my Aces vs Sparks AI Prediction

This is a matchup between two Western Conference foes. The Las Vegas Aces come into this contest with a record of (16-4, 6-4  in conference.) The Los Angeles Sparks on the other hand haven’t had as strong of a season, coming in at (4-15, 2-7 in conference.)

These two teams are squaring off for the third time this season. They split the pair in their previous two matchups.

Las Vegas Aces Preview

The Las Vegas Aces (3rd in the Western Conference) are riding a season high 6 game win streak. The key question is, can they remain hot in Los Angeles against a subpar team in the Sparks Friday night? The Aces are in (6-4) in conference games, this game is a conference game.

The Las Vegas Aces have a difficult task in playing 2 games in 2 nights. Last night, they faced off against the Washington Mystics on Independence day, and now have to travel to Los Angeles to take on the Sparks tonight. The Aces won last night with Kelsey Plum leading the way chipping in a team high (28.0) points. Will the travel factor play a pivotal role in tonight's contest? We’ll have to wait and see.

Las Vegas is third in the WNBA averaging (9.6) 3-pointers per game while shooting (35.0%) from beyond the arc. Recently voted All-Star center A’ja Wilson leads the team in scoring averaging (26.5) points per game. She leads the WNBA in scoring. She also leads the team in rebounds averaging (10.9) per contest. Furthermore, she also leads the teams in steals and blocks. You can say the 6’4 center out of South Carolina does it all for the red hot Aces. A’ja is one of the best players if not the best player in the WNBA.

In their last 10, the Aces are (7-3) and are looking to keep their win streak alive when they take on the Sparks. Now, let’s dive into the Los Angeles Sparks team preview.

This plays a key role in my Aces vs Sparks AI prediction.

Los Angeles Sparks Preview

The Los Angeles Sparks have had a rough beginning to their season and have lost 8 straight games. The loss of star rookie Cameron Brink has not helped. The Sparks are in danger of falling into last place in the Western Conference and are currently 11th overall in the league.

In their last game, they lost by 2 points to the Mystics despite getting 16 points and 11 rebounds from Dearica Hamby. Hamby is the team leader in scoring and rebounding as she gets (18.3) PPG and (10.3) RPG. Hamby is a 6’3 forward and has scored 16 or more in each of her last three games.

The Sparks are 11th in the league in scoring at (78.0) PPG and their defense ranks 10th allowing (85.3) PPG. Losing Cameron Brink has really hurt their defense as they have fallen into 10th in the league in blocked shots.

At home this year they’re (2-5-1) against the spread. They have an overall record at home of (3-5). Not exactly the start you’re looking for if you are an LA Sparks fan.

How I Use Rithmm Models for Aces vs Sparks AI Prediction

The spread in this game is Aces (-13) with a total coming in at (173.0) Rithmm, predicts the total to land at (168.0) This means, play the under. We have a 5 point edge here which is pretty good all things considered. This bet has a (66.2.%) win probability.

Aces vs Sparks - Over/Under

Not only is the total humming, but also we have a strong edge on the side as well. The line in this game is Aces (-13), but Rithmm predicts that the Sparks are going to lose by (+7.4) signaling the correct play here to be to take the Sparks plus the points. This bet has a (67.7%) win probability.

Aces vs Sparks - Spread

Read more about AI WNBA picks here and check out our AI sports picks here.

My Aces vs Sparks AI Prediction

My Rithmm model predicts the Sparks to lose by (7.4) points. The opening line was Aces (-13). Knowing this, the play has to be Sparks plus the points. This also has a (67.7%) win probability. In terms of the total, Rithmm predicts the total to land at (168.0) This means it’s going under as the number is set at (173.0)

Also, this bet has a (66.2%) win probability. We have a strong edge on both the side and total. Both plays also have a high winning percentage.

Make your own picks with your free Rithmm trial

Using my Rithmm model, the clear cut pick in this matchup is Sparks (+13) and the total falling under (173.0). Not only do we have a strong AI edge and win probability with both picks using our Rithmm app but the trends follow in the direction as well. Rithmm gives you AI data driven backed picks rather than relying on your gut instinct so you have a better chance of winning this way.

Looking for a new way to bet on sports? Sick and tired of giving away money rather than collecting? Well Rithmm is the solution for you.

Subscribe today to a 7-day free trial with Rithmm. Rithmm provides you with sports betting AI data driven backed picks so you don’t have to rely on your gut anymore or something you heard from an average Joe at the bar. Best of luck everybody!

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