Yordan Alvarez is one of the best hitters in baseball right now. He is second in the majors with 29 home runs, he hits the ball as hard as anyone in the game, and tonight he shows up as Rithmm's top-recommended MLB pick. The bet is not on whether he gets a hit. It is on the type of hit he gets.
Tonight against the Washington Nationals, Rithmm's models are recommending Yordan Alvarez Under 0.5 Singles at -108. That means the bet wins if Alvarez records zero singles in the game.
Here is why that makes sense. Alvarez has gone under 0.5 singles in 7 of his last 10 games. That is not a bad stretch. That is just who he is as a hitter. When Alvarez makes contact, it tends to go somewhere loud. He walks, he homers, he doubles. The routine single that most hitters collect a couple times a week simply does not show up in his box score the way you might expect.
Rithmm's models put the win probability on this under at 55%, with a +5.6% edge. That edge is what earned it the green star recommendation in the app, meaning it cleared Rithmm's threshold as a strong standalone bet for tonight's slate.
The -108 juice makes this one of the more accessible props on the board tonight. You are not laying heavy to get there.
Houston and Washington first pitch is at 6:45 PM ET. Check the Rithmm app for the full slate before then.
