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Sparks vs Liberty: AI Predictions from Custom WNBA Models

June 20, 2024

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The Los Angeles Sparks travel to New York City to take on the steaming hot Liberty who have won 7 of their last 9 games. Let's take a look at my Sparks vs Liberty AI Prediction for Thursday night.

Preview of my Sparks vs Liberty AI Prediction

The Sparks come into this matchup with a record of (4-11). On the flip side, the New York Liberty are one of the best teams in the WNBA with a record of (12-3).

Los Angeles Sparks Preview

The Sparks are led in scoring, rebounds, and assists by Dearica Hamby, 6'3 forward out of Wake Forest but she isn’t getting much help from her supporting cast. With Cameron Brink getting injured against the Sun Tuesday night, the Sparks are going to need immediate help for Dearica Hamby or this game against the Liberty may get ugly.

New York Liberty Preview

The Liberty, on the other hand, are led in scoring and rebounds by Breanna Stewart. She also has Sabrina Ionecu on her team who stuffs the stat sheet every outing averaging 17 points per contest. This game will take place in Brooklyn, New York at the Barclays Center at 7 PM EST time and will air on Prime Video.

How I Use Rithmm Models for Sparks vs Liberty AI Prediction

The spread in this contest is the Liberty -14 with a total set at 163.5. What sticks out to me here right off the bat after doing some research is the following:

  • Home this year, the Liberty are a poor 1-7 ATS
  • On the road, the Sparks are 4-4 ATS
  • The Sparks are 4-0 ATS against the Liberty in their last 4 meetings
  • Liberty are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference

Quick as a wink, this speaks volumes. Why would I bet on a team that is 1-7 against the spread at home this year that is facing a team who is 4-4 against the spread on the road? Not only does the data back the Sparks here, but thanks to Rithmm, the app backs Los Angeles too.

Between the given data and an AI backed pick powered by Rithmm, I’m going to have to lean Sparks +14 here when it’s all said and done. Rithmm gives this play a 54.8% win probability which doesn’t seem like much but in reality it is. Rithmm also predicts the Sparks to lose by 13.1 which gives us a 0.9 point differential between the predicted score and the game spread, this is huge!

Rather than focusing on both the total and side in this game, I’m going to solely focus on the side as I feel stronger about this pick. If you’re looking for some more action, here’s Rithmm’s prediction on the total:

If you’re looking to read about AI Backed WNBA picks you can check them out here.

My Storm vs Liberty AI Prediction

As stated earlier in the article, the lean here guys is for sure the Sparks plus the points. The trends point that way and so did the models. Good luck!

Make your own picks with your free Rithmm trial

If you haven’t downloaded Rithmm yet, you can start a 7-day free trial by clicking here. For those not familiar with Rithmm yet, I would definitely recommend getting familiar. Rithmm delivers AI backed, data driven picks that eliminates betting on gut basis.

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