NFL

How Rithmm’s Models Crushed Sunday: Shedeur Sanders Over & Browns ML Upset

How Rithmm’s Models Crushed Sunday: Shedeur Sanders Over & Browns ML Upset

November 24, 2025

Table of Contents

It’s Thanksgiving week — one of the biggest, most electric betting weeks of the year and Rithmm’s models kicked it off with a statement on Sunday.

Our predictive models delivered two standout wins:
- Shedeur Sanders Over 157.5 Passing Yards
- Browns Moneyline +141

While the public was fading Sanders and overlooking Cleveland, Rithmm’s math pointed in the opposite direction — and both bets cashed.

Shedeur Sanders: The Model Backed the Over — and It Hit Big

The public narrative around Shedeur Sanders has been rough lately.  
A lot of chatter. A lot of doubt.  
But Rithmm’s models don’t care about noise — only numbers.

Our Model Projection: 189.3 Passing Yards  
Bet Line: Over 157.5  
Final Result: 209 passing yards (WIN)
Win Chance: 67.3%  
DTM: 30.5% (major market inefficiency)

A 30.5% DTM indicates the sportsbook price was significantly off from true probability — exactly the type of edge Rithmm is built to uncover.

Browns Moneyline: A Short Dog Play That Paid

The board showed Browns +141, but the model saw something different.

Despite projecting a tight game, the model flagged a profitable short underdog situation.

Final Score:
Browns 24, Raiders 10

A double-digit win  and a clean, sharp moneyline hit.

Short dogs are one of the most consistently mispriced areas in NFL betting, and Rithmm’s models continue to find value the market misses.

Thanksgiving Week = Prime Betting Week

This is one of the most active, high-volume betting weeks of the entire year:

- Multiple NFL slates  
- Rivalry-week college football  
- CBB every night  
- NBA and NHL in full swing  

This is when having predictive models not public narratives which makes the biggest difference.

Rithmm will be surfacing:
- Smart Signals  
- Top model edges  
- Unders, overs, spreads, MLs  
- Prime Thanksgiving Day opportunities  

All week long.

Track Every Edge This Week in Rithmm

The momentum is here and Thanksgiving week is just getting started.

See all model predictions, DTM edges, Smart Signals, and recommended plays inside Rithmm.

Your smartest bets of the week start with the model.

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