If you are looking for College Football Playoff picks tonight, Ole Miss +3.5 against Miami is one of the most compelling spreads on the board.

This is a matchup where the betting market has Miami favored, but my Rithmm predictive model, which I named Late Season, is telling a different story. The model has been strong at predicting spread bets since I built it on November 1st.

The model projects Ole Miss at +2.1, indicating the Rebels are expected to keep this game close and potentially challenge the outcome outright. With the spread currently sitting at +3.5, that difference creates a clear buffer between the projection and the market line.

That gap is what makes this spread worth paying attention to.

What the Model Is Showing

Rithmm’s model gives Ole Miss +3.5 a 56.8 percent win probability against the spread. In a playoff game where numbers are typically efficient, that type of edge is meaningful.

Rather than relying on narratives or public perception, this projection is driven by matchup specific data and late season performance inputs designed to evaluate how games actually play out, not just who is expected to win.

Trend Data Supports the Projection

The recent trend data lines up with what the model is seeing.

Ole Miss has covered the spread in three of their last five games, six of their last ten, and nine of their last fourteen. That level of consistency matters, especially in postseason football where margins are often tight and points carry extra value.

When both the predictive model and trend performance point in the same direction, it provides a stronger signal than either one alone. This kind of dual confirmation is exactly what Rithmm is designed to surface quickly.

Why the Spread Makes Sense in This Spot

Instead of trying to predict the outright winner, the +3.5 spread allows for more flexibility. Ole Miss can lose a close game and still cover, which is often the smarter approach in high leverage playoff matchups.

Games at this stage tend to come down to late possessions, coaching decisions, and situational execution. Having more than a field goal of protection gives bettors room for those moments to swing without turning a good read into a loss.

Fast Execution Across Sportsbooks

Once you decide to play it, Rithmm makes execution simple.

With single tap access to sportsbooks like FanDuel, DraftKings, and Kalshi, you can compare prices and send the Ole Miss +3.5 spread directly to your preferred sportsbook without switching apps. That speed matters on big games where lines can move quickly leading up to kickoff. Right now, the best odds are showing on Kalshi — and you can see that directly in app, since Rithmm line shops for you.

Final Thoughts

Ole Miss +3.5 is a clean example of how Rithmm helps identify real opportunities in major games. The model projects a closer matchup than the market suggests, the trends support it, and the spread offers valuable protection in a playoff setting.

While the College Football Playoff is coming to an end, the same predictive models power picks across NBA, NFL, and College Basketball every day. From player props to spreads, totals, and parlay legs, Rithmm is built to help bettors stay consistent across seasons — not just for one game. And with March Madness coming, it’s a great time to lock in.

You can find this Ole Miss prediction along with daily NBA, NFL, and College Basketball picks inside the Rithmm app. Start with a free seven day trial and see how model backed picks can simplify your slate.

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