Tonight's models are pointing at a singles prop that tends to catch people off guard.
Nolan Schanuel lines up against the Texas Rangers at 8:05 PM ET with a singles line set at 0.5. The Rithmm models give the under a 54 percent win probability with a +6.6 percent edge at -104 odds, and have tagged this one as an Elite Edge play.
The setup makes more sense than it looks on the surface. A singles under at 0.5 means Schanuel needs to avoid just one clean base hit that does not go for extra bases. That sounds easy to beat, but first basemen in tonight's matchup profile have consistently gone under this line at a strong rate this season. The models are seeing something the market is not fully pricing in.
At -104, there is genuine value on the under. The models are not just flagging directional confidence, they are flagging price inefficiency, and that is where the real edge lives.
Tonight's full slate is live inside the Rithmm app. Download it and see every prop the models are tracking before first pitch.
