NFL

NFL Props: Rithmm’s Predictive Models +29.67 Units This Season — Smart Signal Highlights Puka Nacua Under 91.5 Yards

NFL Props: Rithmm’s Predictive Models +29.67 Units This Season — Smart Signal Highlights Puka Nacua Under 91.5 Yards

November 8, 2025

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Rithmm’s predictive models continue to deliver across the NFL prop markets, with data that speaks for itself.  
Through this season, Rithmm’s recommended NFL props are 630–527 (+29.67 units) — steady and consistent week after week.  

Now, the models are flagging another strong Smart Signal for Sunday’s slate.

Featured Smart Signal: Puka Nacua Under 91.5 Receiving Yards (–114)

- Model Projection: 70.4 yards  
- Win Probability: 69.6%  
- DTM: +35.0%  
- Odds: –114  
- Signal Type:Receiving Yards + Unders + Win Chance 60–70%*
- Historical Performance: 337-sample record of 196–141 (58% hit rate) and +10.0% ROI

This is tagged as a Sharp Under by Rithmm’s predictive model — and for good reason.  

Why the Model Favors the Under

1. Matchup Context
Nacua faces a disciplined 49ers defense that’s limiting WR1 production through coverage rotations and safety help over the top.  
The model’s opponent-adjusted metrics project him closer to 70 yards, not 90+.  

2. Historical Trend Alignment
Across his last five games, Nacua averages 77.0 yards with a 67% hit rate on unders in similar matchups.  
The model’s projection (70.4) aligns tightly with that pattern.  

3. Strong Predictive Confidence
The Smart Signal’s 35% DTM means Rithmm’s model disagrees sharply with the market — signaling a significant pricing inefficiency.  

Sunday Prep

Smart Signals are live now for Sunday’s slate — including receiving, rushing, and combo props.  
Check which models align, verify DTM, and track your bets directly in the app before kickoff.  

> Rithmm continues to show that when predictive analytics meet market inefficiency, the results compound — one prop at a time.  

See NFL Smart Signals in Rithmm!

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