If you’re searching for NFL player props today, this is the exact type of spot predictive models are built to find.

For Sunday’s matchup between the Bears and Browns, Rithmm’s NFL Prop Model is flagging D’Andre Swift over 12.5 rush attempts as a Smart Signal.

Why the Model Likes D’Andre Swift Over 12.5 Rush Attempts

Here’s what the data is showing.

Rithmm projects Swift to finish with 18.2 rushing attempts, well above the posted line of 12.5. That gap is significant — not a coin flip.

The model gives this prop a 78.1% win probability, compared to just a 50.5% implied win chance from the sportsbook. That difference is why this play triggers a Smart Signal inside the app.

The DTM (Distance to Market) on this prop comes in at 55.7%, indicating strong value relative to the current price.

Usage Trends That Support the Projection

Recent usage trends support the projection. Over his last 10 games, Swift has gone over 12.5 rush attempts 80% of the time, averaging 14.4 carries per game. When Chicago leans into a run-heavy script, his volume consistently clears this number.

This is exactly what Rithmm looks for in player props: a clear mismatch between projected usage and what the market is pricing.

NFL Player Props

And this isn’t limited to one play.

Rithmm surfaces NFL player props like this every week — along with NBA player props, College Basketball spreads, and full-game predictions — all powered by predictive models, not trends or public narratives.

If you’re building plays for today’s NFL slate and want to see which player props the models like most, Rithmm has them live now.

Start your 7-day free trial and get access to NFL, NBA, and CBB predictions today.

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