The holiday stretch of the NFL season is one of the most active betting windows of the year. Christmas games, extended weekend slates, and nationally televised matchups create more opportunities than usual — and that’s exactly when data-driven player props tend to shine.

This season, when the Rithmm model recommends an NFL player prop, the results have been strong. Below is a snapshot of player prop performance when surfaced by the model. This is not an exhaustive list — just a look at what’s been working.

Top NFL Player Prop Performance This Season

Quinshon Judkins 20–8 record, 33.9% ROI
Jordan Mason 13–3 record, 49.26% ROI
D’Andre Swift 9–0 record, 92.77% ROI
Jaylen Warren 14–5 record, 38.6% ROI
Tyrone Tracy 11–3 record, 52.61% ROI
Kenneth Gainwell 10–2 record, 55.66% ROI
Isaac TeSlaa 9–2 record, 56.13% ROI

These results reflect what happens when the Rithmm model flags a player prop — not every game, not every player, but specific spots where the numbers line up.

Why Christmas & Holiday Weekend Games Matter

Holiday NFL slates are unique. Short weeks, travel, weather, and game scripts often differ from a standard Sunday. Casual bettors tend to focus on stars, narratives, and overs during these marquee games. Predictive models, on the other hand, stay grounded in usage trends, matchup context, and historical performance in similar situations.

That difference is exactly why player props can offer an edge during holiday games. Instead of guessing which team will win, player-level outcomes often provide clearer signals — especially in high-volume, high-attention matchups like Christmas Day and the holiday weekend.

This Is Just a Snapshot

The player props listed above are not picks for today and not guarantees. They’re a snapshot of how the Rithmm model has performed this season when recommending NFL player props. There are many more opportunities available inside the app across rushing, receiving, and combined stat markets.

As the Christmas games and holiday weekend approach, the slate only gets bigger — and so does the number of model-backed player props to explore.

If you’re looking to stay active during the holidays without relying on gut feel or narratives, this is where predictive modeling can help.

Rithmm is available on the App Store, Google Play, and web, and includes a free 7-day trial. Explore the Christmas games, the holiday weekend slate, and see how NFL player props look when backed by data — not emotion.

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