The Minnesota Lynx host the Los Angeles Sparks tonight at 5:00 PM ET, and the Rithmm models are flagging one prop that stands out across the full WNBA slate. Here's what the data is showing.
Pattern: WNBA Forwards — Rebs UNDER
Record: 81-38
Win Rate: 68.1%
ROI: +24.8%
Tier: Gold
Sample Size: 119 bets
Natasha Howard is having an All-Star season. The three-time champion is averaging 16.8 points and 7.9 rebounds per game in 2026, and she earned her spot as one of the Lynx's two All-Star starters this year. All of that is real. None of it changes what the data is showing tonight.
Her season rebound average of 7.9 is already sitting under the 8.5 line set for this game. The Rithmm models project her at 6.3 rebounds against the Sparks, a number that factors in both her recent production and the matchup context. That is a gap of more than two boards below the line.
What makes this pick stand out is the pattern behind it. When WNBA forwards are set up on rebound unders, the historical results are consistent in a way that gets the models' attention. Across 119 tracked bets in this exact setup, the pattern has cashed at a 68.1% clip with a +24.8% ROI. When you narrow it further to situations where the forward is also priced as a favorite, the win rate climbs to 72.1% across 61 bets. Howard is favored tonight, which puts her squarely in that tighter bucket.
The models also have this flagged as an Elite Edge situation, meaning the value they are finding here goes beyond just the win probability. The line is 8.5. The projection is 6.3. The pattern says forwards in this spot hit the under nearly seven out of ten times. That alignment across the model, the pattern, and the matchup is what puts this at the top of tonight's slate.
If you want to see what the models are tracking across the full WNBA board today, Rithmm's AI sports picks are updated daily. The 7-day free trial is available at rithmm.com/pricing.
