After calling the Texans' upset over the Chiefs, Rithmm’s AG Premium Model sees hidden value again—this time on Chargers Moneyline vs. the Eagles. Here’s why the data points to another upset tonight.

Monday Night Football: Can the AG Premium Model Hit Back-to-Back Upsets?

Yesterday, the AG Premium Model I built delivered in a big way. Texans Moneyline +168 — predicted, played, and won. Final score: Houston 20, Kansas City 10. It wasn’t luck. It was predictive modeling identifying value the market didn’t see. This is the same type of model any Rithmm user can build inside the app using real game variables, historical distributions, and simulation-based weighting — and tonight, we’re going right back to the well.

Model Pick: Chargers Moneyline +118

Eagles at Chargers — 8:15 PM ET

The AG Premium Model predicts Chargers 21.5, Eagles 19.6, Win Chance 58.7%, DTM 27.9% (strong value). The sportsbook views Los Angeles as the underdog. The model sees something different. Hidden value. Mispriced odds. Real upset potential. The same pattern that triggered yesterday’s Texans pick is appearing again: the Chargers are an underdog on the board, but the model projects them winning outright, and the DTM score confirms value vs. price. When predictive modeling and market inefficiency line up like this, we ride.

Why the AG Premium Model Works

This model blends machine-learning projections, adjusted game simulations, player-specific performance curves, and market inefficiency detection. It isn’t guessing. It isn’t vibes. It’s math identifying spots where the price is wrong. Last night, the market undervalued Houston. Tonight, it may be undervaluing the Chargers.

Why Underdog Upsets Matter

Anyone can pick favorites. Value hunters look for probability greater than price. +118 implies a 46% win chance. Our model projects 58.7%. That’s the edge. That’s the difference between casual betting and smart decision-making.

Want Picks Like This Every Day?

Rithmm gives you model-backed recommendations, win probabilities, player and game predictions, Smart Signals when value spikes, and your own personalized models. And it’s all free for 7 days. 👉 Try Rithmm today and see every recommended pick in real time. Because the earlier you get the line, the more value you capture. Download Rithmm now and follow tonight’s MNF pick with us.

‍