NCAAB

College Basketball Saturday: Rithmm’s AI Model Targets Under 156.5 in UIC–Chicago State

College Basketball Saturday: Rithmm’s AI Model Targets Under 156.5 in UIC–Chicago State

November 15, 2025

Table of Contents

College Basketball is where Rithmm started.  
Before NFL props. Before NBA Smart Signals. Before personalized models.  
CBB was the *first* sport we ever built and in 2025, it’s still one of our most profitable.

Today, we’re diving into early-season performance and the model’s favorite Saturday pick.

Rithmm's CBB Performance This Season

Rithmm has been sharp across totals, spreads, and moneyline favorites, here are few stats:

- 4–1 on Totals last night (Friday 11/14)
- 19–3 Moneyline Favorites (+9.85 units)  
- 32–22 ATS (+8.04 units)  
- 20–13 ATS on Road Underdogs (+5.79 units)  

CBB continues to be one of our most mature and reliable model categories — built from the ground up since Day 1.

Featured CBB Model Edge  
UIC @ Chicago State — Under 156.5 (–109)

- Model Projection: 154.8 total points  
- Win Probability: 56.5%  
- DTM: +8.4%  
- Tip-Off: 2:00 PM ET  

Rithmm projects **154.8 total points**, giving the Under a meaningful edge relative to the market.

Why the Model Likes the Under

1. Model Projection Below Market
The sportsbook line is 156.5, but the model lands at 154.8, creating positive expected value supported by an 8.4% DTM.

2. Smart Signal Confirmation
This matchup triggers a Smart Signal with:
- 70% hit rate
- 34.3% ROI
- 10-game sample

Smart Signals highlight patterns where your model has historically been most accurate — in this case:  
Total Points 150.5–160.0 + Win Chance 54–57% + DTM 7–13%.

3. Early-Season Totals Success
Rithmm’s totals models opened the season hot, going 4–1 last night and showing strong tempo and efficiency calibration across matchups.

4. Opponent-Adjusted Inputs
The prediction factors in:
- pace normalization  
- shot quality against defensive pressure  
- offensive efficiency relative to matchup  
- early-season volatility smoothing  

This game profiles as a slower, more controlled scoring environment.

Track All CBB Edges in Rithmm

Every totals projection, Smart Signal, and pick for today’s full board is live now in the app.  
Stay ahead of the market with the model that built Rithmm.

See Today’s CBB Smart Signals in Rithmm!

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