CJ McCollum Under 3.5 Assists at Magic, Oct 21

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Hawks at Magic tip tonight at 7:00 PM ET in Orlando. Tonight's lean is CJ McCollum Under 3.5 assists. The board lists Under 3.5 at minus 138 with 6.9 percent Edge. The models project 2.9 assists, which sits under the posted line. Win probability is 64.9 percent on the Under.
This is a creation volume read. The models see McCollum around three assists, so Under 3.5 cashes on three or fewer. That half assist of cushion is the story on a short line where one extra pass flips the ticket. The price asks you to lay juice, and the projection plus win probability is what supports it.
Shop the number before you lock it across DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Hard Rock, Kalshi, Polymarket, Novig, and more. If your book offers Under 3.5 at a cheaper price than minus 138, the math only improves.
Open the full Bet Info stack in-app for the model projection versus the market, win probability versus book-implied probability, Edge, and the live line. On Pro or Premium, ask Scout to walk the McCollum card in plain English before you build the slip. Numbers move. Check your sportsbook or trading site before you lock it.
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