Game: Tampa Bay Rays @ St. Louis Cardinals | 4:15 PM ET | Busch Stadium
The Pick: Cardinals Moneyline +105 ⭐
Rithmm's MLB model is flagging the Cardinals moneyline today. The model puts St. Louis at a 55.1% win probability, which translates to a +12.3% Difference to Market (DTM) at the current +105 line. That's the kind of gap that gets a ⭐ Recommended tag.
What makes this one stand out is the model agreement across three models:
When multiple independent models land in the same direction with positive DTM, that's a strong signal worth paying attention to.
The model projects a final score of Cardinals 3.9 – Rays 3.4. It's a tight, low-scoring game — but with the Cardinals at home and plus-money odds, the models see real value on St. Louis.
Drew Rasmussen takes the hill for Tampa Bay against Matthew Liberatore for St. Louis. The pitching matchup is already baked into the model's projection, and the Cardinals still come out on top.
Three models. All pointing the same direction. The Rithmm MLB model is on the Cardinals today — at plus-money, with solid DTM across the board.
Pick: Cardinals ML +105 | Confidence: ⭐ Recommended
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