Braelon Allen Under 13.5 Rush Attempts vs Bears - AI NFL Pick

Sunday's Jets at Bears board has Rithmm's predictive models flagging Braelon Allen Under 13.5 rush attempts at -108 as a high-win-probability NFL prop. Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on October 4. The live app card shows the Under at 62.7% win probability with a +22.4% Edge, and the prop model bars sit at 63% Under versus 37% Over. The models project 11.8 rush attempts, nearly two full carries under the number.

That gap is the read. A 13.5 rush-attempt line still prices Allen for a heavy workload on the road in Chicago. The models are not buying the full volume the market is selling. They sit him at 11.8, leave room under 13.5, and still print a massive +22.4% Edge after the -108 juice. You are not asking for a zero-carry game. You are asking him to stay under 14 rushes while the projection already lands closer to 12.

Allen is the Jets running back in a spot where Breece Hall's status has pushed more of the ground work his way, which is exactly why books can hang a carry number this high. The models process multiple specialized signals in parallel on this prop and still come down under 13.5 with a 63% win chance against a book-implied read near 52%. That is a chalky under with real Edge, not a long-shot fade. Shop -108 before you lock it across DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Hard Rock, Kalshi, Polymarket, Novig, and more. A few cents matter when you are laying juice on a rush-attempts under.

Open the full Bet Info stack in-app for model projection versus the market, win probability versus book-implied probability, Edge, and hit rates across the last 5, 10, and 20 games. On Pro or Premium, ask Scout to walk the Jets at Bears rushing board in plain English before you build the slip. Size the stake for -108, treat this as a single or a sturdy parlay leg, and confirm the live number still matches the card before kickoff. Numbers move. Always trust the app card over any fixed article figure.

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