The NFL Playoffs are here, and this is when small edges matter most.

As games tighten and spreads sharpen, player props often offer the clearest opportunities, especially when predictive modeling, trends, and matchup data all point in the same direction.

That is exactly the case today with Austin Hooper over 9.5 receiving yards for New England.

Why this is a Smart Signal

Rithmm’s prop model projects Austin Hooper for 28.5 receiving yards, nearly three times higher than the current line of 9.5.

Because of that gap between the projection and the market, this play is flagged as a Smart Signal inside the Rithmm app. The model assigns it an 82.7 percent win probability, which is exceptionally strong for a playoff slate where lines are typically very efficient.

This is the type of low yardage prop where one or two catches can be enough to cash, making it less dependent on game flow and more resilient in playoff environments.

Trends make this a strong parlay leg

In addition to the model signal, recent trends support the over.

Austin Hooper has gone over 9.5 receiving yards in seven of his last ten games and ten of his last thirteen. His average receiving output over that span is 18.7 yards, which clears the line comfortably.

Because of that consistency, this prop is also flagged as parlay friendly inside Rithmm. It pairs well with other playoff props or game picks for users who prefer to build parlays rather than play singles.

When both the model and trends agree, it creates exactly the type of leg you want anchoring a playoff parlay.

The matchup supports it as well

The Chargers have allowed an average of 10.2 receiving yards per game to tight ends this season. That defensive tendency aligns well with Hooper’s role, especially in playoff games where quarterbacks often lean on reliable short area targets.

When matchup data reinforces both the projection and the trend profile, it strengthens the overall signal.

Line shopping and one click execution

Rithmm does more than just surface the prediction.

The app automatically line shops across sportsbooks, showing you where the best number is available before you place your bet. That matters, especially with low yardage props where every half yard and price point counts.

Once you are ready to play it, Rithmm offers one click access directly to sportsbooks or to prediction markets like Kalshi, with Polymarket coming soon. There is no need to search manually or switch between apps.

Final thoughts

Austin Hooper over 9.5 receiving yards is a strong NFL Playoffs player prop backed by predictive modeling, supported by trends, and reinforced by matchup data.

It is flagged as a Smart Signal, works well as a parlay leg, and is easy to execute thanks to built in line shopping and one click access to sportsbooks and prediction markets.

You can find this prediction along with other NFL Playoffs props, NBA picks, and more inside the Rithmm app. Start with a free seven day trial and see how model driven insights help you stay sharp when it matters most.

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