NFL Week 11 Recap: Rithmm Props Crush Opening & Closing Lines

Week 11 was one of the strongest NFL prop weeks of the season for Rithmm.  
Even with our featured pick (Chuba Hubbard Over 0.5 receptions) not getting home, the overall model performance was elite — especially against both opening and closing markets.

Here’s what stood out on Sunday.
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Rithmm NFL Props: Week 11 Performance

Props vs Opening Lines
Rithmm props crushed the opening numbers:

- 91–49
- +37.76 units

Nearly +40 units against opening lines is a confirmation of deep model accuracy and early-market efficiency.

Props vs Closing Lines
The model continued its strong performance even after the market adjusted:

- 90–55
- +29.43 units

Beating the closing line this convincingly shows the model wasn’t just early — it was right.

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Smart Signals Stayed Hot

Smart Signals — which highlight historical patterns where your model has been most accurate — delivered another high-win week:

Smart Signals vs Opening Lines
- 13–2
- +9.65 units

An 87% hit rate is one of the best Smart Signal days of the season.

Smart Signals vs Closing Lines
- 8–4
- +2.14 units

Even after line movement, Smart Signals held strong.

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Key Takeaways from Week 11

1️⃣ The Model Was Dominant Across All Markets
Whether you track openers or closers, Week 11 showcased:
- consistent projection accuracy  
- strong mispricing detection  
- high-volume reliability  

2️⃣ Smart Signals Continue to Deliver
Patterns such as:
- Win Chance 70–80%  
- Unders 60–70%  
- Receptions efficiency spots  

…continue to perform with profitable consistency.

3️⃣ Featured Pick Missed, but the System Won
Chuba Hubbard Over 0.5 receptions didn’t get there — but this week highlighted why:
- tracking the full board matters, and  
- Rithmm’s predictive models thrive at scale.

One pick might miss.  
The system doesn’t.

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Track Every NFL Edge in Rithmm

Player props, totals, Smart Signals, and live model projections for Week 12 will update throughout the week.  
See every DTM edge, projection, and pattern inside the app.

See All NFL Smart Signals in Rithmm!

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